Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station (LEMD), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21°C on May 14, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. AEMET data aligns closely, with nearby stations like Retiro recording 21.7°C and Ciudad Universitaria 22.9°C, amid persistent cloud cover from a recent frontal system and cool northerly flow that limited solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating below typical mid-May averages of 23–24°C. ECMWF and AEMET forecast models had converged on mild maxima of 20–22°C in the days prior, reflecting these atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data revisions or station-specific microclimate discrepancies could theoretically prompt review; no further updates are expected.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
21°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$86,948 거래량
$86,948 거래량
2026.05.14
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$86,948 거래량
$86,948 거래량
2026.05.14
18°C or below
$3,725 거래량
No
19°C
$12,128 거래량
No
20°C
$15,181 거래량
No
21°C
$18,905 거래량
Yes
22°C
$9,507 거래량
No
23°C
$6,854 거래량
No
24°C
$9,151 거래량
No
25°C
$3,903 거래량
No
26°C
$1,940 거래량
No
27°C
$1,717 거래량
No
28°C or higher
$3,937 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station (LEMD), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21°C on May 14, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. AEMET data aligns closely, with nearby stations like Retiro recording 21.7°C and Ciudad Universitaria 22.9°C, amid persistent cloud cover from a recent frontal system and cool northerly flow that limited solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating below typical mid-May averages of 23–24°C. ECMWF and AEMET forecast models had converged on mild maxima of 20–22°C in the days prior, reflecting these atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data revisions or station-specific microclimate discrepancies could theoretically prompt review; no further updates are expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
거래량
$86,948종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station (LEMD), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21°C on May 14, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. AEMET data aligns closely, with nearby stations like Retiro recording 21.7°C and Ciudad Universitaria 22.9°C, amid persistent cloud cover from a recent frontal system and cool northerly flow that limited solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating below typical mid-May averages of 23–24°C. ECMWF and AEMET forecast models had converged on mild maxima of 20–22°C in the days prior, reflecting these atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data revisions or station-specific microclimate discrepancies could theoretically prompt review; no further updates are expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$86,948종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station (LEMD), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21°C on May 14, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. AEMET data aligns closely, with nearby stations like Retiro recording 21.7°C and Ciudad Universitaria 22.9°C, amid persistent cloud cover from a recent frontal system and cool northerly flow that limited solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating below typical mid-May averages of 23–24°C. ECMWF and AEMET forecast models had converged on mild maxima of 20–22°C in the days prior, reflecting these atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data revisions or station-specific microclimate discrepancies could theoretically prompt review; no further updates are expected.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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