National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models converged on a daytime high of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies and light southerly flow across the region. This setup produced typical early-season conditions with minimal cloud cover and modest onshore advection, aligning closely with climatological averages for mid-May. The market’s near-certain consensus for the 76–77°F outcome reflects these consistent model runs and official briefings issued in the final 48 hours before the event. A shift in steering currents or unexpected marine-layer intrusion could have pushed readings into the upper 70s, though current observational data from LaGuardia and Central Park stations show no such deviation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$181,945 거래량
$181,945 거래량
2026.05.16
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$181,945 거래량
$181,945 거래량
2026.05.16
76-77°F
$45,210 거래량
100%
78-79°F
$27,088 거래량
<1%
80-81°F
$30,907 거래량
<1%
82-83°F
$22,880 거래량
<1%
84°F or higher
$16,863 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models converged on a daytime high of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies and light southerly flow across the region. This setup produced typical early-season conditions with minimal cloud cover and modest onshore advection, aligning closely with climatological averages for mid-May. The market’s near-certain consensus for the 76–77°F outcome reflects these consistent model runs and official briefings issued in the final 48 hours before the event. A shift in steering currents or unexpected marine-layer intrusion could have pushed readings into the upper 70s, though current observational data from LaGuardia and Central Park stations show no such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$181,945종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models converged on a daytime high of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies and light southerly flow across the region. This setup produced typical early-season conditions with minimal cloud cover and modest onshore advection, aligning closely with climatological averages for mid-May. The market’s near-certain consensus for the 76–77°F outcome reflects these consistent model runs and official briefings issued in the final 48 hours before the event. A shift in steering currents or unexpected marine-layer intrusion could have pushed readings into the upper 70s, though current observational data from LaGuardia and Central Park stations show no such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$181,945종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models converged on a daytime high of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies and light southerly flow across the region. This setup produced typical early-season conditions with minimal cloud cover and modest onshore advection, aligning closely with climatological averages for mid-May. The market’s near-certain consensus for the 76–77°F outcome reflects these consistent model runs and official briefings issued in the final 48 hours before the event. A shift in steering currents or unexpected marine-layer intrusion could have pushed readings into the upper 70s, though current observational data from LaGuardia and Central Park stations show no such deviation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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