Ongoing diplomatic efforts between Israel and Lebanon, including scheduled talks in Washington on May 17, 2026, center on solidifying a ceasefire, securing a timetable for Israeli troop withdrawal from southern Lebanon, and addressing border issues along with prisoner releases. Recent Israeli airstrikes and expanded military operations in the region have reinforced security priorities for Israel while prompting Lebanese officials to reject any buffer zones and insist on complete withdrawal. United States facilitation of de-escalation talks and United Nations discussions on post-UNIFIL arrangements after December 2026 continue to shape the timeline, with both sides linking progress to implementation of prior resolutions on militia disarmament and territorial control. These developments highlight competing security and sovereignty concerns that directly influence trader assessments of near-term resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,543,353 거래량
2026.06.30
5월 31일
1%
6월 30일
7%
$1,543,353 거래량
5월 31일
$1,237,290 거래량
1%
6월 30일
$231,056 거래량
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Ongoing diplomatic efforts between Israel and Lebanon, including scheduled talks in Washington on May 17, 2026, center on solidifying a ceasefire, securing a timetable for Israeli troop withdrawal from southern Lebanon, and addressing border issues along with prisoner releases. Recent Israeli airstrikes and expanded military operations in the region have reinforced security priorities for Israel while prompting Lebanese officials to reject any buffer zones and insist on complete withdrawal. United States facilitation of de-escalation talks and United Nations discussions on post-UNIFIL arrangements after December 2026 continue to shape the timeline, with both sides linking progress to implementation of prior resolutions on militia disarmament and territorial control. These developments highlight competing security and sovereignty concerns that directly influence trader assessments of near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
거래량
$1,543,353종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Ongoing diplomatic efforts between Israel and Lebanon, including scheduled talks in Washington on May 17, 2026, center on solidifying a ceasefire, securing a timetable for Israeli troop withdrawal from southern Lebanon, and addressing border issues along with prisoner releases. Recent Israeli airstrikes and expanded military operations in the region have reinforced security priorities for Israel while prompting Lebanese officials to reject any buffer zones and insist on complete withdrawal. United States facilitation of de-escalation talks and United Nations discussions on post-UNIFIL arrangements after December 2026 continue to shape the timeline, with both sides linking progress to implementation of prior resolutions on militia disarmament and territorial control. These developments highlight competing security and sovereignty concerns that directly influence trader assessments of near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
거래량
$1,543,353종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic efforts between Israel and Lebanon, including scheduled talks in Washington on May 17, 2026, center on solidifying a ceasefire, securing a timetable for Israeli troop withdrawal from southern Lebanon, and addressing border issues along with prisoner releases. Recent Israeli airstrikes and expanded military operations in the region have reinforced security priorities for Israel while prompting Lebanese officials to reject any buffer zones and insist on complete withdrawal. United States facilitation of de-escalation talks and United Nations discussions on post-UNIFIL arrangements after December 2026 continue to shape the timeline, with both sides linking progress to implementation of prior resolutions on militia disarmament and territorial control. These developments highlight competing security and sovereignty concerns that directly influence trader assessments of near-term resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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