Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum near 26°C on June 14, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiational cooling. June climatology places average overnight lows at 26–27°C, and current guidance shows no marine layer intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cold air to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August support this baseline without altering daily thresholds. Trader consensus at 84% implied probability for 26°C aggregates these verified model runs and historical patterns, with lower-probability outcomes like 25°C requiring unexpected rain-cooled pockets that current data do not support. Updated observations near resolution will confirm the official minimum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 홍콩 최저 기온?
6월 14일 홍콩 최저 기온?
26°C 84.3%
25°C 5.7%
24°C 1.6%
23°C <1%
$60,711 거래량
$60,711 거래량
2026.06.14
22°C 이하
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
84%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C 이상
<1%
26°C 84.3%
25°C 5.7%
24°C 1.6%
23°C <1%
$60,711 거래량
$60,711 거래량
2026.06.14
22°C 이하
$2,923 거래량
<1%
23°C
$4,899 거래량
<1%
24°C
$4,629 거래량
2%
25°C
$4,529 거래량
6%
26°C
$8,489 거래량
84%
27°C
$8,003 거래량
<1%
28°C
$18,740 거래량
<1%
29°C
$6,709 거래량
<1%
30°C
$506 거래량
<1%
31°C
$463 거래량
<1%
32°C 이상
$1,756 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum near 26°C on June 14, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiational cooling. June climatology places average overnight lows at 26–27°C, and current guidance shows no marine layer intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cold air to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August support this baseline without altering daily thresholds. Trader consensus at 84% implied probability for 26°C aggregates these verified model runs and historical patterns, with lower-probability outcomes like 25°C requiring unexpected rain-cooled pockets that current data do not support. Updated observations near resolution will confirm the official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$60,711종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum near 26°C on June 14, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiational cooling. June climatology places average overnight lows at 26–27°C, and current guidance shows no marine layer intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cold air to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August support this baseline without altering daily thresholds. Trader consensus at 84% implied probability for 26°C aggregates these verified model runs and historical patterns, with lower-probability outcomes like 25°C requiring unexpected rain-cooled pockets that current data do not support. Updated observations near resolution will confirm the official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$60,711종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum near 26°C on June 14, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiational cooling. June climatology places average overnight lows at 26–27°C, and current guidance shows no marine layer intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cold air to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August support this baseline without altering daily thresholds. Trader consensus at 84% implied probability for 26°C aggregates these verified model runs and historical patterns, with lower-probability outcomes like 25°C requiring unexpected rain-cooled pockets that current data do not support. Updated observations near resolution will confirm the official minimum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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