Recent Met Office forecasts for London on June 14 project an overnight minimum of 13°C, aligning with ensemble model consensus under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling. This atmospheric setup, typical for mid-June with average lows near 11–12°C, has driven the 99.2% market-implied probability for exactly 13°C by limiting further temperature drops. Traders weigh official guidance heavily, as resolution relies on precise station measurements rather than broader forecasts. A clearer night or unexpected wind shift could realistically push the recorded low to 12°C or below, though current observations and model runs show low likelihood of such deviation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 런던 최저 기온?
6월 14일 런던 최저 기온?
13°C 99.2%
12°C 1.3%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$16,938 거래량
$16,938 거래량
2026.06.14
7°C 이하
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C 이상
<1%
13°C 99.2%
12°C 1.3%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$16,938 거래량
$16,938 거래량
2026.06.14
7°C 이하
$790 거래량
<1%
8°C
$733 거래량
<1%
9°C
$539 거래량
<1%
10°C
$1,161 거래량
<1%
11°C
$2,220 거래량
<1%
12°C
$2,067 거래량
1%
13°C
$5,103 거래량
99%
14°C
$1,712 거래량
<1%
15°C
$1,002 거래량
<1%
16°C
$1,026 거래량
<1%
17°C 이상
$585 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on June 14 project an overnight minimum of 13°C, aligning with ensemble model consensus under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling. This atmospheric setup, typical for mid-June with average lows near 11–12°C, has driven the 99.2% market-implied probability for exactly 13°C by limiting further temperature drops. Traders weigh official guidance heavily, as resolution relies on precise station measurements rather than broader forecasts. A clearer night or unexpected wind shift could realistically push the recorded low to 12°C or below, though current observations and model runs show low likelihood of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$16,938종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on June 14 project an overnight minimum of 13°C, aligning with ensemble model consensus under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling. This atmospheric setup, typical for mid-June with average lows near 11–12°C, has driven the 99.2% market-implied probability for exactly 13°C by limiting further temperature drops. Traders weigh official guidance heavily, as resolution relies on precise station measurements rather than broader forecasts. A clearer night or unexpected wind shift could realistically push the recorded low to 12°C or below, though current observations and model runs show low likelihood of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$16,938종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts for London on June 14 project an overnight minimum of 13°C, aligning with ensemble model consensus under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling. This atmospheric setup, typical for mid-June with average lows near 11–12°C, has driven the 99.2% market-implied probability for exactly 13°C by limiting further temperature drops. Traders weigh official guidance heavily, as resolution relies on precise station measurements rather than broader forecasts. A clearer night or unexpected wind shift could realistically push the recorded low to 12°C or below, though current observations and model runs show low likelihood of such deviation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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