Recent forecast models from Météo-France and supporting guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C in Paris on June 14, driven by clear skies under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling with light winds and dew-point temperatures in the 10–12°C range. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when overnight lows typically settle around 12–14°C absent significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. The overwhelming market consensus at 99.7% for 13°C reflects aggregated trader assessment of ensemble outputs showing limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover expected to moderate the drop. A realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a slight wind shift delaying cooling, potentially lifting the minimum above 13°C, or from a sharper nocturnal temperature plunge if skies clear more rapidly than modeled.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 거래량
$12,364 거래량
9°C 이하
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C 이상
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 거래량
$12,364 거래량
9°C 이하
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from Météo-France and supporting guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C in Paris on June 14, driven by clear skies under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling with light winds and dew-point temperatures in the 10–12°C range. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when overnight lows typically settle around 12–14°C absent significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. The overwhelming market consensus at 99.7% for 13°C reflects aggregated trader assessment of ensemble outputs showing limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover expected to moderate the drop. A realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a slight wind shift delaying cooling, potentially lifting the minimum above 13°C, or from a sharper nocturnal temperature plunge if skies clear more rapidly than modeled.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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