Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate mild overnight conditions for Paris on May 20, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 11°C and 13°C amid light variable winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with mid-May climatological averages near 9–11°C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow and stable high pressure. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 12°C and 13°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest guidance before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 20일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
5월 20일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
14°C 15%
신규
신규
2026.05.20
6°C 이하
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
5%
10°C
9%
11°C
13%
12°C
23%
13°C
21%
14°C
15%
15°C
5%
16°C 이상
4%
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
14°C 15%
신규
신규
2026.05.20
6°C 이하
$126 거래량
1%
7°C
$160 거래량
1%
8°C
$14 거래량
5%
9°C
$30 거래량
5%
10°C
$24 거래량
9%
11°C
$25 거래량
13%
12°C
$25 거래량
23%
13°C
$14 거래량
21%
14°C
$14 거래량
15%
15°C
$14 거래량
5%
16°C 이상
$99 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate mild overnight conditions for Paris on May 20, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 11°C and 13°C amid light variable winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with mid-May climatological averages near 9–11°C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow and stable high pressure. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 12°C and 13°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest guidance before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$546종료일
2026.05.20마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate mild overnight conditions for Paris on May 20, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 11°C and 13°C amid light variable winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with mid-May climatological averages near 9–11°C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow and stable high pressure. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 12°C and 13°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest guidance before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$546종료일
2026.05.20마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate mild overnight conditions for Paris on May 20, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 11°C and 13°C amid light variable winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with mid-May climatological averages near 9–11°C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow and stable high pressure. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 12°C and 13°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest guidance before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문