Trader consensus prices "No" at 96%, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV, Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution, which requires congressional approval for new states, alongside Venezuela's sovereign status and lack of mutual consent. President Trump's May 11-13 remarks "seriously considering" annexation—highlighted by Truth Social maps depicting Venezuela as the 51st state amid its $40 trillion oil reserves—drew swift rejection from acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed national sovereignty. Following the January 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve capturing Nicolás Maduro, U.S.-Venezuela ties have warmed via oil exports and sanctions relief, but focus remains on transitional stability and alliance-building, not statehood. Realistic shifts would demand a Venezuelan referendum, congressional supermajority, and diplomatic breakthroughs, scenarios traders deem near-impossible before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$195,146 거래량
$195,146 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$195,146 거래량
$195,146 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96%, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV, Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution, which requires congressional approval for new states, alongside Venezuela's sovereign status and lack of mutual consent. President Trump's May 11-13 remarks "seriously considering" annexation—highlighted by Truth Social maps depicting Venezuela as the 51st state amid its $40 trillion oil reserves—drew swift rejection from acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed national sovereignty. Following the January 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve capturing Nicolás Maduro, U.S.-Venezuela ties have warmed via oil exports and sanctions relief, but focus remains on transitional stability and alliance-building, not statehood. Realistic shifts would demand a Venezuelan referendum, congressional supermajority, and diplomatic breakthroughs, scenarios traders deem near-impossible before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
거래량
$195,146종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96%, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV, Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution, which requires congressional approval for new states, alongside Venezuela's sovereign status and lack of mutual consent. President Trump's May 11-13 remarks "seriously considering" annexation—highlighted by Truth Social maps depicting Venezuela as the 51st state amid its $40 trillion oil reserves—drew swift rejection from acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed national sovereignty. Following the January 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve capturing Nicolás Maduro, U.S.-Venezuela ties have warmed via oil exports and sanctions relief, but focus remains on transitional stability and alliance-building, not statehood. Realistic shifts would demand a Venezuelan referendum, congressional supermajority, and diplomatic breakthroughs, scenarios traders deem near-impossible before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$195,146종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96%, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV, Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution, which requires congressional approval for new states, alongside Venezuela's sovereign status and lack of mutual consent. President Trump's May 11-13 remarks "seriously considering" annexation—highlighted by Truth Social maps depicting Venezuela as the 51st state amid its $40 trillion oil reserves—drew swift rejection from acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed national sovereignty. Following the January 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve capturing Nicolás Maduro, U.S.-Venezuela ties have warmed via oil exports and sanctions relief, but focus remains on transitional stability and alliance-building, not statehood. Realistic shifts would demand a Venezuelan referendum, congressional supermajority, and diplomatic breakthroughs, scenarios traders deem near-impossible before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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