Abelardo de la Espriella captured 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, securing the leading position through rapid consolidation of conservative and centrist support behind his security-focused platform. Polls had shown him trailing Iván Cepeda of the ruling Historic Pact for much of the campaign, yet de la Espriella surged in the final weeks by emphasizing tough measures against armed groups, mega-prisons modeled on regional examples, and alignment with international right-wing figures. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia’s voters shifted toward him after her campaign underperformed, aided by endorsements from traditional right-wing leaders, while his movement mobilized evangelical and urban turnout. This outcome produced the current market consensus around the 40-45 percent bracket. Late voter realignment or higher-than-expected blank or third-candidate ballots remain the primary variables that could have altered the precise share within that range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAbelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 96.8%
35-40% 2.9%
45%+ 2.2%
<20% <1%
$13,642 Wol.
$13,642 Wol.
May 31, 2026
<20%
1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35-40%
3%
40-45%
97%
45%+
2%
40-45% 96.8%
35-40% 2.9%
45%+ 2.2%
<20% <1%
$13,642 Wol.
$13,642 Wol.
May 31, 2026
<20%
$1,018 Wol.
1%
20-25%
$1,702 Wol.
<1%
25-30%
$1,781 Wol.
<1%
30-35%
$1,245 Wol.
<1%
35-40%
$1,806 Wol.
3%
40-45%
$2,976 Wol.
97%
45%+
$3,114 Wol.
2%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella captured 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, securing the leading position through rapid consolidation of conservative and centrist support behind his security-focused platform. Polls had shown him trailing Iván Cepeda of the ruling Historic Pact for much of the campaign, yet de la Espriella surged in the final weeks by emphasizing tough measures against armed groups, mega-prisons modeled on regional examples, and alignment with international right-wing figures. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia’s voters shifted toward him after her campaign underperformed, aided by endorsements from traditional right-wing leaders, while his movement mobilized evangelical and urban turnout. This outcome produced the current market consensus around the 40-45 percent bracket. Late voter realignment or higher-than-expected blank or third-candidate ballots remain the primary variables that could have altered the precise share within that range.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Rynek otwarty: May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,642Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella captured 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, securing the leading position through rapid consolidation of conservative and centrist support behind his security-focused platform. Polls had shown him trailing Iván Cepeda of the ruling Historic Pact for much of the campaign, yet de la Espriella surged in the final weeks by emphasizing tough measures against armed groups, mega-prisons modeled on regional examples, and alignment with international right-wing figures. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia’s voters shifted toward him after her campaign underperformed, aided by endorsements from traditional right-wing leaders, while his movement mobilized evangelical and urban turnout. This outcome produced the current market consensus around the 40-45 percent bracket. Late voter realignment or higher-than-expected blank or third-candidate ballots remain the primary variables that could have altered the precise share within that range.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Wolumen
$13,642Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella captured 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, securing the leading position through rapid consolidation of conservative and centrist support behind his security-focused platform. Polls had shown him trailing Iván Cepeda of the ruling Historic Pact for much of the campaign, yet de la Espriella surged in the final weeks by emphasizing tough measures against armed groups, mega-prisons modeled on regional examples, and alignment with international right-wing figures. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia’s voters shifted toward him after her campaign underperformed, aided by endorsements from traditional right-wing leaders, while his movement mobilized evangelical and urban turnout. This outcome produced the current market consensus around the 40-45 percent bracket. Late voter realignment or higher-than-expected blank or third-candidate ballots remain the primary variables that could have altered the precise share within that range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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