Recent polls ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote show incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading with roughly 38-42 percent while Liberal Party nominee Flávio Bolsonaro trails at 28-35 percent, leaving other right-wing contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos in single digits. Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility has consolidated right-wing support behind his son Flávio, who received the party nomination in late July. June audio recordings and a publicized family dispute temporarily dented Flávio’s numbers, yet subsequent surveys indicate recovery among core voters. Traders therefore price Flávio as the overwhelming consensus choice for second place, reflecting the limited fragmentation visible in current polling averages.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlávio Bolsonaro 86%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 6.9%
Renan Santos 5.4%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$4,823,336 Wol.
$4,823,336 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
86%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
7%
Renan Santos
5%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Romeu Zema
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Flávio Bolsonaro 86%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 6.9%
Renan Santos 5.4%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$4,823,336 Wol.
$4,823,336 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
$286,129 Wol.
86%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$263,906 Wol.
7%
Renan Santos
$1,115,470 Wol.
5%
Ronaldo Caiado
$363,525 Wol.
1%
Camilo Santana
$120,835 Wol.
<1%
Fernando Haddad
$712,252 Wol.
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$144,426 Wol.
<1%
Romeu Zema
$312,827 Wol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$109,372 Wol.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$70,228 Wol.
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$207,106 Wol.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$138,456 Wol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$681,218 Wol.
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$162,025 Wol.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$79,085 Wol.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$20,972 Wol.
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$35,504 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote show incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading with roughly 38-42 percent while Liberal Party nominee Flávio Bolsonaro trails at 28-35 percent, leaving other right-wing contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos in single digits. Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility has consolidated right-wing support behind his son Flávio, who received the party nomination in late July. June audio recordings and a publicized family dispute temporarily dented Flávio’s numbers, yet subsequent surveys indicate recovery among core voters. Traders therefore price Flávio as the overwhelming consensus choice for second place, reflecting the limited fragmentation visible in current polling averages.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,823,336Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote show incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading with roughly 38-42 percent while Liberal Party nominee Flávio Bolsonaro trails at 28-35 percent, leaving other right-wing contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos in single digits. Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility has consolidated right-wing support behind his son Flávio, who received the party nomination in late July. June audio recordings and a publicized family dispute temporarily dented Flávio’s numbers, yet subsequent surveys indicate recovery among core voters. Traders therefore price Flávio as the overwhelming consensus choice for second place, reflecting the limited fragmentation visible in current polling averages.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$4,823,336Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote show incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading with roughly 38-42 percent while Liberal Party nominee Flávio Bolsonaro trails at 28-35 percent, leaving other right-wing contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos in single digits. Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility has consolidated right-wing support behind his son Flávio, who received the party nomination in late July. June audio recordings and a publicized family dispute temporarily dented Flávio’s numbers, yet subsequent surveys indicate recovery among core voters. Traders therefore price Flávio as the overwhelming consensus choice for second place, reflecting the limited fragmentation visible in current polling averages.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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