Ciro Gomes maintains a lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages stemming from his prior governorship and broad name recognition across the state. Recent Datafolha surveys from late August and early September show him at 46% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 37% in the first round, narrowing from a larger 19-point gap earlier in the month after the start of free electoral broadcasts and candidate conventions. Elmano has gained ground through incumbency advantages and alliances with federal PT figures, though second-round simulations continue to favor Ciro. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão register low single digits, leaving the contest effectively between the top two ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader pricing aligns with these trends while reflecting the race's tightening dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 58%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$234,749 Wol.
$234,749 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
58%
Elmano de Freitas
42%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Ciro Gomes 58%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$234,749 Wol.
$234,749 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$109,216 Wol.
58%
Elmano de Freitas
$54,653 Wol.
42%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Wol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Wol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Wol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Wol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes maintains a lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages stemming from his prior governorship and broad name recognition across the state. Recent Datafolha surveys from late August and early September show him at 46% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 37% in the first round, narrowing from a larger 19-point gap earlier in the month after the start of free electoral broadcasts and candidate conventions. Elmano has gained ground through incumbency advantages and alliances with federal PT figures, though second-round simulations continue to favor Ciro. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão register low single digits, leaving the contest effectively between the top two ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader pricing aligns with these trends while reflecting the race's tightening dynamics.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Wolumen
$234,749Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes maintains a lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages stemming from his prior governorship and broad name recognition across the state. Recent Datafolha surveys from late August and early September show him at 46% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 37% in the first round, narrowing from a larger 19-point gap earlier in the month after the start of free electoral broadcasts and candidate conventions. Elmano has gained ground through incumbency advantages and alliances with federal PT figures, though second-round simulations continue to favor Ciro. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão register low single digits, leaving the contest effectively between the top two ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader pricing aligns with these trends while reflecting the race's tightening dynamics.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$234,749Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes maintains a lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages stemming from his prior governorship and broad name recognition across the state. Recent Datafolha surveys from late August and early September show him at 46% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 37% in the first round, narrowing from a larger 19-point gap earlier in the month after the start of free electoral broadcasts and candidate conventions. Elmano has gained ground through incumbency advantages and alliances with federal PT figures, though second-round simulations continue to favor Ciro. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão register low single digits, leaving the contest effectively between the top two ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader pricing aligns with these trends while reflecting the race's tightening dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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