National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a high temperature of 88-92°F in Houston on May 14 under persistent high pressure and sunny skies, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as trader consensus aligns with model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing strong agreement on ample solar insolation, light winds, and subsidence inhibiting clouds. This positioning reflects climatological norms, with mid-May average highs near 87°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport, bolstered by recent ozone alerts signaling stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected sea breeze surge cooling interiors below 86°F or isolated afternoon clouds, though low-probability given stable upper-air patterns; hourly observations through sunset will confirm the peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on May 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 14?
86°F or higher 99.0%
84-85°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$12,885 Wol.
$12,885 Wol.
May 14, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
99%
86°F or higher 99.0%
84-85°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$12,885 Wol.
$12,885 Wol.
May 14, 2026
67°F or below
$814 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$375 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$764 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,477 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$654 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$380 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$327 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$543 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$416 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,020 Wol.
1%
86°F or higher
$1,129 Wol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a high temperature of 88-92°F in Houston on May 14 under persistent high pressure and sunny skies, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as trader consensus aligns with model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing strong agreement on ample solar insolation, light winds, and subsidence inhibiting clouds. This positioning reflects climatological norms, with mid-May average highs near 87°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport, bolstered by recent ozone alerts signaling stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected sea breeze surge cooling interiors below 86°F or isolated afternoon clouds, though low-probability given stable upper-air patterns; hourly observations through sunset will confirm the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,885Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a high temperature of 88-92°F in Houston on May 14 under persistent high pressure and sunny skies, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as trader consensus aligns with model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing strong agreement on ample solar insolation, light winds, and subsidence inhibiting clouds. This positioning reflects climatological norms, with mid-May average highs near 87°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport, bolstered by recent ozone alerts signaling stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected sea breeze surge cooling interiors below 86°F or isolated afternoon clouds, though low-probability given stable upper-air patterns; hourly observations through sunset will confirm the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$12,885Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a high temperature of 88-92°F in Houston on May 14 under persistent high pressure and sunny skies, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as trader consensus aligns with model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing strong agreement on ample solar insolation, light winds, and subsidence inhibiting clouds. This positioning reflects climatological norms, with mid-May average highs near 87°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport, bolstered by recent ozone alerts signaling stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected sea breeze surge cooling interiors below 86°F or isolated afternoon clouds, though low-probability given stable upper-air patterns; hourly observations through sunset will confirm the peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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