The National Weather Service forecast projects Houston's high temperature reaching 89°F today under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, aligning with trader consensus implying 92% odds for 86°F or higher. Current observations at Houston Hobby Airport already show 90°F mid-afternoon, bolstered by persistent upper-level ridging suppressing clouds and promoting daytime heating above May climatological norms of around 88°F. Model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on these conditions, with minimal shortwave disturbances. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer intrusion or isolated convective clouds capping peaks in the low 80s, though subsidence and dry air make sub-86°F unlikely as the day progresses toward evening observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on May 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 15?
86°F or higher 92%
84-85°F 9%
82-83°F 1.8%
80-81°F <1%
$12,161 Wol.
$12,161 Wol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86°F or higher
92%
86°F or higher 92%
84-85°F 9%
82-83°F 1.8%
80-81°F <1%
$12,161 Wol.
$12,161 Wol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86°F or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service forecast projects Houston's high temperature reaching 89°F today under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, aligning with trader consensus implying 92% odds for 86°F or higher. Current observations at Houston Hobby Airport already show 90°F mid-afternoon, bolstered by persistent upper-level ridging suppressing clouds and promoting daytime heating above May climatological norms of around 88°F. Model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on these conditions, with minimal shortwave disturbances. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer intrusion or isolated convective clouds capping peaks in the low 80s, though subsidence and dry air make sub-86°F unlikely as the day progresses toward evening observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania