Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 91°F for Dallas on May 17 under partly sunny skies and south winds of 10–20 mph, yet model runs continue to diverge on the exact peak due to variable cloud cover and the timing of any afternoon showers. This spread keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered between the 86–87°F and 90–91°F bins, with traders weighing historical May normals near 84–86°F against the current warm-air advection pattern. Key uncertainties include the strength of daytime mixing and the extent of convective development, both of which could shave several degrees off the maximum if clouds increase earlier than forecast. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 17?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 17?
86-87°F 32%
88-89°F 31%
90-91°F 25%
92°F or higher 16%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
25%
92°F or higher
16%
86-87°F 32%
88-89°F 31%
90-91°F 25%
92°F or higher 16%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
$515 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,646 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,589 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$709 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$508 Wol.
1%
82-83°F
$204 Wol.
1%
84-85°F
$169 Wol.
4%
86-87°F
$922 Wol.
32%
88-89°F
$557 Wol.
31%
90-91°F
$565 Wol.
25%
92°F or higher
$1,381 Wol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 91°F for Dallas on May 17 under partly sunny skies and south winds of 10–20 mph, yet model runs continue to diverge on the exact peak due to variable cloud cover and the timing of any afternoon showers. This spread keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered between the 86–87°F and 90–91°F bins, with traders weighing historical May normals near 84–86°F against the current warm-air advection pattern. Key uncertainties include the strength of daytime mixing and the extent of convective development, both of which could shave several degrees off the maximum if clouds increase earlier than forecast. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,764Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 91°F for Dallas on May 17 under partly sunny skies and south winds of 10–20 mph, yet model runs continue to diverge on the exact peak due to variable cloud cover and the timing of any afternoon showers. This spread keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered between the 86–87°F and 90–91°F bins, with traders weighing historical May normals near 84–86°F against the current warm-air advection pattern. Key uncertainties include the strength of daytime mixing and the extent of convective development, both of which could shave several degrees off the maximum if clouds increase earlier than forecast. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$9,764Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALRecent National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 91°F for Dallas on May 17 under partly sunny skies and south winds of 10–20 mph, yet model runs continue to diverge on the exact peak due to variable cloud cover and the timing of any afternoon showers. This spread keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered between the 86–87°F and 90–91°F bins, with traders weighing historical May normals near 84–86°F against the current warm-air advection pattern. Key uncertainties include the strength of daytime mixing and the extent of convective development, both of which could shave several degrees off the maximum if clouds increase earlier than forecast. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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