Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 17 near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, positioning the market-implied 50% probability for 28°C or higher as the leading outcome amid ensemble mean highs of 27-29°C. This follows a recent warm spell, including an observed 29°C peak on May 14 at Chongqing's official monitoring stations, though incoming mid-level clouds may cap intensification potential in the Yangtze River basin's humid subtropical climate, where mid-May historical averages hover at 27°C. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in model spreads, with 25-27°C outcomes at 19.5-21% each; watch CMA's afternoon update and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on Jiangbei Airport observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 17?
26°C 23%
25°C 16%
24°C 9%
28°C or higher 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
16%
26°C
23%
27°C
17%
28°C or higher
9%
26°C 23%
25°C 16%
24°C 9%
28°C or higher 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
16%
26°C
23%
27°C
17%
28°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKLatest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 17 near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, positioning the market-implied 50% probability for 28°C or higher as the leading outcome amid ensemble mean highs of 27-29°C. This follows a recent warm spell, including an observed 29°C peak on May 14 at Chongqing's official monitoring stations, though incoming mid-level clouds may cap intensification potential in the Yangtze River basin's humid subtropical climate, where mid-May historical averages hover at 27°C. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in model spreads, with 25-27°C outcomes at 19.5-21% each; watch CMA's afternoon update and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on Jiangbei Airport observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania