Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 62-64°F for Seattle on May 17, driving trader consensus toward 64°F or higher at 50% implied probability as a weakening trough allows drier, seasonable conditions to return after unseasonably cool showers in the 50s over the May 15-16 weekend. This follows early May's record-breaking warmth above 80°F from offshore flow, now moderated by persistent Pacific marine air that typically caps Puget Sound highs around the mid-60s climatological average for mid-May. Lower outcomes like 60-63°F reflect model spread and potential persistent cloud cover; expect refined guidance from NWS afternoon updates and tomorrow's 00z model cycles amid inherent spring forecast uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 17?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 17?
62-63°F 32%
60-61°F 27%
64°F or higher 23%
58-59°F 17%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
32%
64°F or higher
23%
62-63°F 32%
60-61°F 27%
64°F or higher 23%
58-59°F 17%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
45°F or below
$834 Wol.
<1%
46-47°F
$505 Wol.
<1%
48-49°F
$326 Wol.
<1%
50-51°F
$512 Wol.
<1%
52-53°F
$153 Wol.
1%
54-55°F
$117 Wol.
1%
56-57°F
$17 Wol.
4%
58-59°F
$149 Wol.
17%
60-61°F
$116 Wol.
27%
62-63°F
$148 Wol.
32%
64°F or higher
$338 Wol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 62-64°F for Seattle on May 17, driving trader consensus toward 64°F or higher at 50% implied probability as a weakening trough allows drier, seasonable conditions to return after unseasonably cool showers in the 50s over the May 15-16 weekend. This follows early May's record-breaking warmth above 80°F from offshore flow, now moderated by persistent Pacific marine air that typically caps Puget Sound highs around the mid-60s climatological average for mid-May. Lower outcomes like 60-63°F reflect model spread and potential persistent cloud cover; expect refined guidance from NWS afternoon updates and tomorrow's 00z model cycles amid inherent spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,217Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 62-64°F for Seattle on May 17, driving trader consensus toward 64°F or higher at 50% implied probability as a weakening trough allows drier, seasonable conditions to return after unseasonably cool showers in the 50s over the May 15-16 weekend. This follows early May's record-breaking warmth above 80°F from offshore flow, now moderated by persistent Pacific marine air that typically caps Puget Sound highs around the mid-60s climatological average for mid-May. Lower outcomes like 60-63°F reflect model spread and potential persistent cloud cover; expect refined guidance from NWS afternoon updates and tomorrow's 00z model cycles amid inherent spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,217Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEALatest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 62-64°F for Seattle on May 17, driving trader consensus toward 64°F or higher at 50% implied probability as a weakening trough allows drier, seasonable conditions to return after unseasonably cool showers in the 50s over the May 15-16 weekend. This follows early May's record-breaking warmth above 80°F from offshore flow, now moderated by persistent Pacific marine air that typically caps Puget Sound highs around the mid-60s climatological average for mid-May. Lower outcomes like 60-63°F reflect model spread and potential persistent cloud cover; expect refined guidance from NWS afternoon updates and tomorrow's 00z model cycles amid inherent spring forecast uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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