National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) point to a high near 56°F today under mostly cloudy skies with 40-50% rain chances, driving the 95.7% market-implied probability for 57°F or below. This reflects a sharp cooldown from the record 82°F on May 12, as a marine-influenced air mass and persistent low clouds suppress daytime heating, per NOAA model consensus including GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited insolation. Recent observations confirm steady temperatures around the mid-50s amid southwest winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or reduced precipitation allowing solar warming to nudge highs into the upper 50s, though current trends and climatological May baselines around 63°F make this low-likelihood amid the active weather pattern. Hourly updates from KSEA will refine the outlook through evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 15?
57°F or below 95.5%
58-59°F 1.8%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
NOWE
$24,135 Wol.
NOWE
$24,135 Wol.
May 15, 2026
57°F or below
96%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
57°F or below 95.5%
58-59°F 1.8%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
NOWE
$24,135 Wol.
NOWE
$24,135 Wol.
May 15, 2026
57°F or below
$3,045 Wol.
96%
58-59°F
$4,244 Wol.
2%
60-61°F
$3,954 Wol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,921 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,527 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,033 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,143 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,382 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,509 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,499 Wol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$891 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) point to a high near 56°F today under mostly cloudy skies with 40-50% rain chances, driving the 95.7% market-implied probability for 57°F or below. This reflects a sharp cooldown from the record 82°F on May 12, as a marine-influenced air mass and persistent low clouds suppress daytime heating, per NOAA model consensus including GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited insolation. Recent observations confirm steady temperatures around the mid-50s amid southwest winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or reduced precipitation allowing solar warming to nudge highs into the upper 50s, though current trends and climatological May baselines around 63°F make this low-likelihood amid the active weather pattern. Hourly updates from KSEA will refine the outlook through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$24,135Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) point to a high near 56°F today under mostly cloudy skies with 40-50% rain chances, driving the 95.7% market-implied probability for 57°F or below. This reflects a sharp cooldown from the record 82°F on May 12, as a marine-influenced air mass and persistent low clouds suppress daytime heating, per NOAA model consensus including GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited insolation. Recent observations confirm steady temperatures around the mid-50s amid southwest winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or reduced precipitation allowing solar warming to nudge highs into the upper 50s, though current trends and climatological May baselines around 63°F make this low-likelihood amid the active weather pattern. Hourly updates from KSEA will refine the outlook through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$24,135Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) point to a high near 56°F today under mostly cloudy skies with 40-50% rain chances, driving the 95.7% market-implied probability for 57°F or below. This reflects a sharp cooldown from the record 82°F on May 12, as a marine-influenced air mass and persistent low clouds suppress daytime heating, per NOAA model consensus including GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited insolation. Recent observations confirm steady temperatures around the mid-50s amid southwest winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or reduced precipitation allowing solar warming to nudge highs into the upper 50s, though current trends and climatological May baselines around 63°F make this low-likelihood amid the active weather pattern. Hourly updates from KSEA will refine the outlook through evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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