Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 20-23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 22°C and explaining the closely matched trader sentiment across these outcomes. Model spread stems from uncertainties in scattered cloud cover and light southerly winds, with cooler members anticipating partial overcast reducing insolation to near 19-20°C, while clearer scenarios favor 22-23°C peaks. Italian Aeronautica Militare updates confirm stable mild conditions following recent frontal passages, though daily 12z runs could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears. Historical May 17 highs rarely exceed 25°C, capping tail risks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 17?
21°C 29%
22°C 29%
23°C 12%
20°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
6%
20°C
9%
21°C
29%
22°C
29%
23°C
12%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
5%
21°C 29%
22°C 29%
23°C 12%
20°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$65 Wol.
1%
17°C
$10 Wol.
3%
18°C
$0 Wol.
4%
19°C
$11 Wol.
6%
20°C
$0 Wol.
9%
21°C
$64 Wol.
29%
22°C
$25 Wol.
29%
23°C
$0 Wol.
12%
24°C
$0 Wol.
3%
25°C or higher
$10 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 20-23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 22°C and explaining the closely matched trader sentiment across these outcomes. Model spread stems from uncertainties in scattered cloud cover and light southerly winds, with cooler members anticipating partial overcast reducing insolation to near 19-20°C, while clearer scenarios favor 22-23°C peaks. Italian Aeronautica Militare updates confirm stable mild conditions following recent frontal passages, though daily 12z runs could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears. Historical May 17 highs rarely exceed 25°C, capping tail risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$185Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 20-23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 22°C and explaining the closely matched trader sentiment across these outcomes. Model spread stems from uncertainties in scattered cloud cover and light southerly winds, with cooler members anticipating partial overcast reducing insolation to near 19-20°C, while clearer scenarios favor 22-23°C peaks. Italian Aeronautica Militare updates confirm stable mild conditions following recent frontal passages, though daily 12z runs could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears. Historical May 17 highs rarely exceed 25°C, capping tail risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$185Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 20-23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 22°C and explaining the closely matched trader sentiment across these outcomes. Model spread stems from uncertainties in scattered cloud cover and light southerly winds, with cooler members anticipating partial overcast reducing insolation to near 19-20°C, while clearer scenarios favor 22-23°C peaks. Italian Aeronautica Militare updates confirm stable mild conditions following recent frontal passages, though daily 12z runs could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears. Historical May 17 highs rarely exceed 25°C, capping tail risks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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