Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm air mass advected northward ahead of a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula, supporting daily maxima near 28–30 °C in Busan on May 17. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to enhance daytime heating, while the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation keeps surface temperatures close to the upper end of late-May climatology. Traders have concentrated bets on 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes because these align with the current consensus forecast, yet modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact ridge position leaves room for a 1–2 °C adjustment once the final 48-hour guidance updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on May 17?
30°C 34%
29°C 29%
31°C 15.8%
28°C 5.5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
29%
30°C
28%
31°C
16%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
29°C 29%
31°C 15.8%
28°C 5.5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
29%
30°C
28%
31°C
16%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKRecent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm air mass advected northward ahead of a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula, supporting daily maxima near 28–30 °C in Busan on May 17. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to enhance daytime heating, while the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation keeps surface temperatures close to the upper end of late-May climatology. Traders have concentrated bets on 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes because these align with the current consensus forecast, yet modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact ridge position leaves room for a 1–2 °C adjustment once the final 48-hour guidance updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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