PAGASA's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 34°C in Metro Manila today under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and 20% precipitation chance from easterly winds, driving the 92% market-implied probability on this outcome as traders align with official model consensus. Recent days saw peaks near 35.5°C at nearby stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport amid drier conditions, but increased cloud cover—evident in morning observations around 34°C at Quezon City—supports moderation to seasonal May averages of 33–34°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine eroding clouds, potentially pushing toward 35°C (6.5% odds), though hourly PAGASA updates through afternoon peak heating will refine trader positioning before resolution based on Science Garden station data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on May 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 14?
34°C 97.0%
35°C 3.5%
36°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$26,092 Wol.
$26,092 Wol.
May 14, 2026
34°C
97%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 97.0%
35°C 3.5%
36°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$26,092 Wol.
$26,092 Wol.
May 14, 2026
34°C
$3,494 Wol.
97%
35°C
$2,518 Wol.
4%
36°C
$2,142 Wol.
1%
37°C
$1,592 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,535 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 34°C in Metro Manila today under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and 20% precipitation chance from easterly winds, driving the 92% market-implied probability on this outcome as traders align with official model consensus. Recent days saw peaks near 35.5°C at nearby stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport amid drier conditions, but increased cloud cover—evident in morning observations around 34°C at Quezon City—supports moderation to seasonal May averages of 33–34°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine eroding clouds, potentially pushing toward 35°C (6.5% odds), though hourly PAGASA updates through afternoon peak heating will refine trader positioning before resolution based on Science Garden station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Wolumen
$26,092Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 34°C in Metro Manila today under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and 20% precipitation chance from easterly winds, driving the 92% market-implied probability on this outcome as traders align with official model consensus. Recent days saw peaks near 35.5°C at nearby stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport amid drier conditions, but increased cloud cover—evident in morning observations around 34°C at Quezon City—supports moderation to seasonal May averages of 33–34°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine eroding clouds, potentially pushing toward 35°C (6.5% odds), though hourly PAGASA updates through afternoon peak heating will refine trader positioning before resolution based on Science Garden station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$26,092Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 34°C in Metro Manila today under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and 20% precipitation chance from easterly winds, driving the 92% market-implied probability on this outcome as traders align with official model consensus. Recent days saw peaks near 35.5°C at nearby stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport amid drier conditions, but increased cloud cover—evident in morning observations around 34°C at Quezon City—supports moderation to seasonal May averages of 33–34°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine eroding clouds, potentially pushing toward 35°C (6.5% odds), though hourly PAGASA updates through afternoon peak heating will refine trader positioning before resolution based on Science Garden station data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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