Recent forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a maximum temperature in Paris today most likely falling between 15°C and 16°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system bringing northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This narrow model consensus, with limited spread across ensemble runs, accounts for the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes over others. Cooler-than-average conditions for mid-May stem from a lingering maritime air mass, keeping readings below the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 18°C. Any afternoon clearing or slight shift in wind direction could push the peak higher, while increased cloudiness would favor the lower end, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 47%
15°C 38%
17°C 13%
14°C 3.9%
$59,302 Wol.
$59,302 Wol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
38%
16°C
47%
17°C
13%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
15°C 38%
17°C 13%
14°C 3.9%
$59,302 Wol.
$59,302 Wol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$2,723 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$4,997 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$7,852 Wol.
4%
15°C
$6,860 Wol.
38%
16°C
$8,317 Wol.
47%
17°C
$7,177 Wol.
13%
18°C
$5,716 Wol.
1%
19°C
$9,488 Wol.
1%
20°C or higher
$3,768 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a maximum temperature in Paris today most likely falling between 15°C and 16°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system bringing northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This narrow model consensus, with limited spread across ensemble runs, accounts for the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes over others. Cooler-than-average conditions for mid-May stem from a lingering maritime air mass, keeping readings below the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 18°C. Any afternoon clearing or slight shift in wind direction could push the peak higher, while increased cloudiness would favor the lower end, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$59,302Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a maximum temperature in Paris today most likely falling between 15°C and 16°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system bringing northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This narrow model consensus, with limited spread across ensemble runs, accounts for the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes over others. Cooler-than-average conditions for mid-May stem from a lingering maritime air mass, keeping readings below the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 18°C. Any afternoon clearing or slight shift in wind direction could push the peak higher, while increased cloudiness would favor the lower end, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$59,302Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a maximum temperature in Paris today most likely falling between 15°C and 16°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system bringing northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This narrow model consensus, with limited spread across ensemble runs, accounts for the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes over others. Cooler-than-average conditions for mid-May stem from a lingering maritime air mass, keeping readings below the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 18°C. Any afternoon clearing or slight shift in wind direction could push the peak higher, while increased cloudiness would favor the lower end, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania