Latest multi-model forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum near 28°C on May 19, supported by a subtropical ridge delivering light southerly flow, moderate humidity around 75–85 percent, and limited cloud cover that favors diurnal warming. Seasonal guidance for May–July already flags normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet short-range uncertainty arises from possible afternoon convective showers that could cap the peak at 27°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 29°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical May maxima averaging 28–29°C, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the King’s Park reference station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 19?
28°C 28%
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
30°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 19, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
28%
29°C
25%
30°C
12%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
4%
28°C 28%
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
30°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 19, 2026
22°C or below
$150 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$314 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$352 Wol.
1%
25°C
$20 Wol.
2%
26°C
$184 Wol.
3%
27°C
$18 Wol.
19%
28°C
$20 Wol.
28%
29°C
$14 Wol.
25%
30°C
$71 Wol.
12%
31°C
$2 Wol.
7%
32°C or higher
$13 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest multi-model forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum near 28°C on May 19, supported by a subtropical ridge delivering light southerly flow, moderate humidity around 75–85 percent, and limited cloud cover that favors diurnal warming. Seasonal guidance for May–July already flags normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet short-range uncertainty arises from possible afternoon convective showers that could cap the peak at 27°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 29°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical May maxima averaging 28–29°C, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the King’s Park reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,157Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest multi-model forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum near 28°C on May 19, supported by a subtropical ridge delivering light southerly flow, moderate humidity around 75–85 percent, and limited cloud cover that favors diurnal warming. Seasonal guidance for May–July already flags normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet short-range uncertainty arises from possible afternoon convective showers that could cap the peak at 27°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 29°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical May maxima averaging 28–29°C, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the King’s Park reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,157Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest multi-model forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum near 28°C on May 19, supported by a subtropical ridge delivering light southerly flow, moderate humidity around 75–85 percent, and limited cloud cover that favors diurnal warming. Seasonal guidance for May–July already flags normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet short-range uncertainty arises from possible afternoon convective showers that could cap the peak at 27°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 29°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical May maxima averaging 28–29°C, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the King’s Park reference station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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