Recent model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus points to a building high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, favoring a peak temperature near 20–21°C on May 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup aligns with mid-May climatological averages of 21–22°C but follows cooler northerly advection that suppressed highs to 15–18°C earlier in the week. Differentiating the closely matched 20°C and 21°C outcomes hinges on afternoon solar insolation and any lingering cloud cover that could trim maximums by 1–2°C, while stable conditions reduce the chance of exceeding 23°C. Traders weigh these subtle shifts ahead of the next model cycle and official observations from Esenboğa.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 19?
21°C 32%
20°C 28%
22°C 18%
19°C 13%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
10%
19°C
13%
20°C
28%
21°C
32%
22°C
18%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
3%
21°C 32%
20°C 28%
22°C 18%
19°C 13%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
10%
19°C
13%
20°C
28%
21°C
32%
22°C
18%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACRecent model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus points to a building high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, favoring a peak temperature near 20–21°C on May 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup aligns with mid-May climatological averages of 21–22°C but follows cooler northerly advection that suppressed highs to 15–18°C earlier in the week. Differentiating the closely matched 20°C and 21°C outcomes hinges on afternoon solar insolation and any lingering cloud cover that could trim maximums by 1–2°C, while stable conditions reduce the chance of exceeding 23°C. Traders weigh these subtle shifts ahead of the next model cycle and official observations from Esenboğa.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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