Latest global forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a narrow range of maximum temperatures for Tel Aviv on May 18, centered around 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This positioning reflects the competing influences of strong springtime solar insolation over the coastal plain and the moderating effect of the Mediterranean sea breeze, which typically peaks in the afternoon and limits further warming. Ensemble spreads indicate low probability for 32 °C or higher unless daytime cloud cover decreases more than currently projected, while 29 °C remains possible if onshore winds strengthen earlier than expected. The Israeli Meteorological Service’s next high-resolution update, due within 12 hours, will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution based on official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
30°C 41%
31°C 32.3%
32°C or higher 17.9%
29°C 10%
$10,874 Wol.
$10,874 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
41%
31°C
32%
32°C or higher
18%
30°C 41%
31°C 32.3%
32°C or higher 17.9%
29°C 10%
$10,874 Wol.
$10,874 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
41%
31°C
32%
32°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest global forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a narrow range of maximum temperatures for Tel Aviv on May 18, centered around 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This positioning reflects the competing influences of strong springtime solar insolation over the coastal plain and the moderating effect of the Mediterranean sea breeze, which typically peaks in the afternoon and limits further warming. Ensemble spreads indicate low probability for 32 °C or higher unless daytime cloud cover decreases more than currently projected, while 29 °C remains possible if onshore winds strengthen earlier than expected. The Israeli Meteorological Service’s next high-resolution update, due within 12 hours, will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution based on official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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