Forecast uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Helsinki on September 16 stems from variable model outputs and local conditions, producing closely matched market-implied odds across 11–16°C thresholds. Southerly winds advect milder maritime air while cloud cover and potential light precipitation limit radiative cooling, keeping projected lows near 12–14°C according to consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance. Historical September averages near 9°C provide context, yet current mild advection and urban heat effects in the capital support higher baselines. Traders weigh rapid shifts possible from updated model runs or clearer skies that could enhance cooling before dawn, with resolution hinging on official station readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 16?
6°C or below 87%
16°C or higher 47%
10°C 40%
7°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
6°C or below
87%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
30%
12°C
24%
13°C
21%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
47%
6°C or below 87%
16°C or higher 47%
10°C 40%
7°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Wol.
87%
7°C
$0 Wol.
39%
8°C
$0 Wol.
39%
9°C
$0 Wol.
39%
10°C
$0 Wol.
40%
11°C
$4 Wol.
30%
12°C
$0 Wol.
24%
13°C
$0 Wol.
21%
14°C
$0 Wol.
39%
15°C
$0 Wol.
39%
16°C or higher
$0 Wol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Helsinki on September 16 stems from variable model outputs and local conditions, producing closely matched market-implied odds across 11–16°C thresholds. Southerly winds advect milder maritime air while cloud cover and potential light precipitation limit radiative cooling, keeping projected lows near 12–14°C according to consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance. Historical September averages near 9°C provide context, yet current mild advection and urban heat effects in the capital support higher baselines. Traders weigh rapid shifts possible from updated model runs or clearer skies that could enhance cooling before dawn, with resolution hinging on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$4Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Helsinki on September 16 stems from variable model outputs and local conditions, producing closely matched market-implied odds across 11–16°C thresholds. Southerly winds advect milder maritime air while cloud cover and potential light precipitation limit radiative cooling, keeping projected lows near 12–14°C according to consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance. Historical September averages near 9°C provide context, yet current mild advection and urban heat effects in the capital support higher baselines. Traders weigh rapid shifts possible from updated model runs or clearer skies that could enhance cooling before dawn, with resolution hinging on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Helsinki on September 16 stems from variable model outputs and local conditions, producing closely matched market-implied odds across 11–16°C thresholds. Southerly winds advect milder maritime air while cloud cover and potential light precipitation limit radiative cooling, keeping projected lows near 12–14°C according to consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance. Historical September averages near 9°C provide context, yet current mild advection and urban heat effects in the capital support higher baselines. Traders weigh rapid shifts possible from updated model runs or clearer skies that could enhance cooling before dawn, with resolution hinging on official station readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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