Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C minimum on May 15, anchoring the overwhelming market consensus around this precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May overnight lows typically range 24–27°C beneath persistent high pressure from the South China Sea, with limited diurnal cooling due to urban heat retention and cloud cover. This verified station reading from the primary observatory site aligns closely with climatological baselines and recent model guidance, leaving little room for deviation. Realistic scenarios that could have shifted the result include an unexpected early-morning clear-sky window combined with calm winds, potentially allowing a brief dip to 24°C, though such conditions did not materialize.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
25°C 94.0%
23°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$64,048 Wol.
$64,048 Wol.
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
94%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 94.0%
23°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$64,048 Wol.
$64,048 Wol.
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
$2,541 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$2,325 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$2,408 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$2,288 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$3,899 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$5,193 Wol.
1%
24°C
$12,287 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$8,751 Wol.
94%
26°C
$12,015 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$8,229 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$4,112 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C minimum on May 15, anchoring the overwhelming market consensus around this precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May overnight lows typically range 24–27°C beneath persistent high pressure from the South China Sea, with limited diurnal cooling due to urban heat retention and cloud cover. This verified station reading from the primary observatory site aligns closely with climatological baselines and recent model guidance, leaving little room for deviation. Realistic scenarios that could have shifted the result include an unexpected early-morning clear-sky window combined with calm winds, potentially allowing a brief dip to 24°C, though such conditions did not materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$64,048Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C minimum on May 15, anchoring the overwhelming market consensus around this precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May overnight lows typically range 24–27°C beneath persistent high pressure from the South China Sea, with limited diurnal cooling due to urban heat retention and cloud cover. This verified station reading from the primary observatory site aligns closely with climatological baselines and recent model guidance, leaving little room for deviation. Realistic scenarios that could have shifted the result include an unexpected early-morning clear-sky window combined with calm winds, potentially allowing a brief dip to 24°C, though such conditions did not materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$64,048Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C minimum on May 15, anchoring the overwhelming market consensus around this precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May overnight lows typically range 24–27°C beneath persistent high pressure from the South China Sea, with limited diurnal cooling due to urban heat retention and cloud cover. This verified station reading from the primary observatory site aligns closely with climatological baselines and recent model guidance, leaving little room for deviation. Realistic scenarios that could have shifted the result include an unexpected early-morning clear-sky window combined with calm winds, potentially allowing a brief dip to 24°C, though such conditions did not materialize.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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