Department Of Defense predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Iran

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$3M Vol.

$69.0K today

$643K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

29%

Switzerland

$3M Vol.

$69.0K today

$643K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

$2M Vol.

$173K today

$179K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

41%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$173K today

$179K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

$458K Vol.

$74.8K today

$146K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

33%

August 31

$458K Vol.

$74.8K today

$146K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Politics·Hegseth

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

$61.8K Vol.

$33.4K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

$61.8K Vol.

$33.4K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Politics·Hegseth

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

$278K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

25%

$278K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Finance·Fed Rates

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$249K Vol.

$51.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

19%

4.8%

$249K Vol.

$51.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Geopolitics·Ukraine

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

$19.8K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

14%

$19.8K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Geopolitics·Russia

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

$197K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

December 31

$197K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Politics·Trump

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

$967 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

74%

August 31

$967 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Politics·Trump

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

$11.9K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

$11.9K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Finance·Fed Rates

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$220K Vol.

$40.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

31%

3.9%

$220K Vol.

$40.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Weather·Astroid

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$176K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

10%

$176K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Politics·Trump

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

$1.7K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

14%

$1.7K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Weather·Science

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$114K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

$114K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Elections·Referendums

Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?

$675 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

50%

$675 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Midterms

James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?

$1.8K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

66%

Fishback <10%

$1.8K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Politics·Taxes

Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?

$43.4K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

11%

$43.4K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Finance·MicroStrategy

Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?

$55.3K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

$55.3K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Politics·Doj

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

$3.4K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

$3.4K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

$17.4K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

12%

$17.4K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

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Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Department Of Defense.

Polymarket currently hosts 33 active markets for Department Of Defense that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 28% chance to Switzerland. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Department Of Defense predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Department Of Defense shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Department Of Defense prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Department Of Defense prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Department Of Defense predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Department Of Defense prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Department Of Defense markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Department Of Defense prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Department Of Defense predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Department Of Defense odds?

Can I track Department Of Defense predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Department Of Defense markets on Polymarket?

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Department Of Defense predictions & odds