Florida's legislatively referred Amendment 3, which would raise the homestead exemption on non-school property taxes from roughly $50,000 to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028 while tightening assessment caps on non-homestead properties, requires 60 percent voter approval on November 3 to pass. Trader pricing at 61 percent for rejection reflects an August court ruling that forced revision of the original ballot language for being advocacy-oriented, recent polling splits showing support near or below the threshold with sizable undecided blocs, and local government warnings of substantial revenue shortfalls that could affect public safety and services. These factors have introduced uncertainty about whether the measure can consolidate the supermajority needed despite earlier legislative passage along largely partisan lines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated32% chance
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2027
32% chance
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2027
Florida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/). Florida's legislatively referred Amendment 3, which would raise the homestead exemption on non-school property taxes from roughly $50,000 to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028 while tightening assessment caps on non-homestead properties, requires 60 percent voter approval on November 3 to pass. Trader pricing at 61 percent for rejection reflects an August court ruling that forced revision of the original ballot language for being advocacy-oriented, recent polling splits showing support near or below the threshold with sizable undecided blocs, and local government warnings of substantial revenue shortfalls that could affect public safety and services. These factors have introduced uncertainty about whether the measure can consolidate the supermajority needed despite earlier legislative passage along largely partisan lines.
Florida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$1,981End Date
Apr 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Florida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/). Florida's legislatively referred Amendment 3, which would raise the homestead exemption on non-school property taxes from roughly $50,000 to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028 while tightening assessment caps on non-homestead properties, requires 60 percent voter approval on November 3 to pass. Trader pricing at 61 percent for rejection reflects an August court ruling that forced revision of the original ballot language for being advocacy-oriented, recent polling splits showing support near or below the threshold with sizable undecided blocs, and local government warnings of substantial revenue shortfalls that could affect public safety and services. These factors have introduced uncertainty about whether the measure can consolidate the supermajority needed despite earlier legislative passage along largely partisan lines.
Florida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/).
Volume
$1,981End Date
Apr 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Florida's legislatively referred Amendment 3, which would raise the homestead exemption on non-school property taxes from roughly $50,000 to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028 while tightening assessment caps on non-homestead properties, requires 60 percent voter approval on November 3 to pass. Trader pricing at 61 percent for rejection reflects an August court ruling that forced revision of the original ballot language for being advocacy-oriented, recent polling splits showing support near or below the threshold with sizable undecided blocs, and local government warnings of substantial revenue shortfalls that could affect public safety and services. These factors have introduced uncertainty about whether the measure can consolidate the supermajority needed despite earlier legislative passage along largely partisan lines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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