California voters will decide in November 2026 whether to approve Proposition 3, a constitutional amendment making permanent the top marginal income tax rates on high earners (10.3–12.3 percent brackets above roughly $360,000 single or $721,000 joint) that were first enacted via Proposition 30 in 2012 and extended through 2030 by Proposition 55. The measure, which qualified for the ballot in June 2026, would lock in $5–15 billion in annual revenue primarily for K–12 schools and community colleges, removing the scheduled sunset and addressing budget pressures from expiring temporary rates. Education unions and labor groups back the initiative, while taxpayer organizations oppose it; a separate billionaire wealth tax measure on the same ballot adds competitive dynamics. Trader consensus at 61.5 percent for passage reflects the measure’s alignment with prior voter-approved extensions alongside uncertainty over turnout, economic conditions, and overlapping fiscal proposals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCalifornia High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California voters will decide in November 2026 whether to approve Proposition 3, a constitutional amendment making permanent the top marginal income tax rates on high earners (10.3–12.3 percent brackets above roughly $360,000 single or $721,000 joint) that were first enacted via Proposition 30 in 2012 and extended through 2030 by Proposition 55. The measure, which qualified for the ballot in June 2026, would lock in $5–15 billion in annual revenue primarily for K–12 schools and community colleges, removing the scheduled sunset and addressing budget pressures from expiring temporary rates. Education unions and labor groups back the initiative, while taxpayer organizations oppose it; a separate billionaire wealth tax measure on the same ballot adds competitive dynamics. Trader consensus at 61.5 percent for passage reflects the measure’s alignment with prior voter-approved extensions alongside uncertainty over turnout, economic conditions, and overlapping fiscal proposals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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