Arizona's 3rd congressional district, a majority-Latino area covering southern and western Phoenix with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, features Democratic incumbent Yassamin Ansari seeking a second term in the November 2026 general election. Ansari won the July 2026 Democratic primary unopposed after securing roughly 71% in 2024, while Republican primary efforts produced only a non-qualifying write-in candidate, leaving no major-party opposition on the ballot. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. This partisan composition and absence of competitive challengers underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late-breaking scandal, successful legal challenge to ballot access, or extreme turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAZ-03 House Election Winner
AZ-03 House Election Winner
$50,632 Vol.
$50,632 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
$50,632 Vol.
$50,632 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$31,713 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$18,919 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district, a majority-Latino area covering southern and western Phoenix with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, features Democratic incumbent Yassamin Ansari seeking a second term in the November 2026 general election. Ansari won the July 2026 Democratic primary unopposed after securing roughly 71% in 2024, while Republican primary efforts produced only a non-qualifying write-in candidate, leaving no major-party opposition on the ballot. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. This partisan composition and absence of competitive challengers underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late-breaking scandal, successful legal challenge to ballot access, or extreme turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$50,632End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district, a majority-Latino area covering southern and western Phoenix with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, features Democratic incumbent Yassamin Ansari seeking a second term in the November 2026 general election. Ansari won the July 2026 Democratic primary unopposed after securing roughly 71% in 2024, while Republican primary efforts produced only a non-qualifying write-in candidate, leaving no major-party opposition on the ballot. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. This partisan composition and absence of competitive challengers underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late-breaking scandal, successful legal challenge to ballot access, or extreme turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$50,632End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district, a majority-Latino area covering southern and western Phoenix with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, features Democratic incumbent Yassamin Ansari seeking a second term in the November 2026 general election. Ansari won the July 2026 Democratic primary unopposed after securing roughly 71% in 2024, while Republican primary efforts produced only a non-qualifying write-in candidate, leaving no major-party opposition on the ballot. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. This partisan composition and absence of competitive challengers underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late-breaking scandal, successful legal challenge to ballot access, or extreme turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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