The National Jury of Elections (JNE) has already rejected multiple annulment petitions following the April first round, citing insufficient legal grounds despite logistical delays and fraud allegations from trailing candidates such as Rafael López Aliaga. The June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez proceeded under established procedures, with ongoing reviews of contested ballots and nullity requests handled through standard channels rather than wholesale invalidation. Peruvian law imposes strict thresholds for annulling an entire election, including supermajority requirements on null or blank votes and documented systemic violations, which current evidence has not met. Traders assign 95.5% probability to “No” because institutional precedents favor completing the tally and certification over restarting the process. Late-stage constitutional court rulings or unprecedented irregularities uncovered in the remaining contested stations could still shift outcomes before final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/07/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/07/31
The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are officially invalidated by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) or a binding decision by the Constitutional Court of Peru (Tribunal Constitucional del Perú, TCP) that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Peru, including the JNE and TCP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The National Jury of Elections (JNE) has already rejected multiple annulment petitions following the April first round, citing insufficient legal grounds despite logistical delays and fraud allegations from trailing candidates such as Rafael López Aliaga. The June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez proceeded under established procedures, with ongoing reviews of contested ballots and nullity requests handled through standard channels rather than wholesale invalidation. Peruvian law imposes strict thresholds for annulling an entire election, including supermajority requirements on null or blank votes and documented systemic violations, which current evidence has not met. Traders assign 95.5% probability to “No” because institutional precedents favor completing the tally and certification over restarting the process. Late-stage constitutional court rulings or unprecedented irregularities uncovered in the remaining contested stations could still shift outcomes before final resolution.
The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are officially invalidated by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) or a binding decision by the Constitutional Court of Peru (Tribunal Constitucional del Perú, TCP) that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Peru, including the JNE and TCP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are officially invalidated by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) or a binding decision by the Constitutional Court of Peru (Tribunal Constitucional del Perú, TCP) that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Peru, including the JNE and TCP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 8, 2026, 8:46 PM ET
音量
$4,951終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jun 8, 2026, 8:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are officially invalidated by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) or a binding decision by the Constitutional Court of Peru (Tribunal Constitucional del Perú, TCP) that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Peru, including the JNE and TCP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The National Jury of Elections (JNE) has already rejected multiple annulment petitions following the April first round, citing insufficient legal grounds despite logistical delays and fraud allegations from trailing candidates such as Rafael López Aliaga. The June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez proceeded under established procedures, with ongoing reviews of contested ballots and nullity requests handled through standard channels rather than wholesale invalidation. Peruvian law imposes strict thresholds for annulling an entire election, including supermajority requirements on null or blank votes and documented systemic violations, which current evidence has not met. Traders assign 95.5% probability to “No” because institutional precedents favor completing the tally and certification over restarting the process. Late-stage constitutional court rulings or unprecedented irregularities uncovered in the remaining contested stations could still shift outcomes before final resolution.
The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are officially invalidated by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) or a binding decision by the Constitutional Court of Peru (Tribunal Constitucional del Perú, TCP) that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Peru, including the JNE and TCP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are officially invalidated by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) or a binding decision by the Constitutional Court of Peru (Tribunal Constitucional del Perú, TCP) that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Peru, including the JNE and TCP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,951終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jun 8, 2026, 8:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The National Jury of Elections (JNE) has already rejected multiple annulment petitions following the April first round, citing insufficient legal grounds despite logistical delays and fraud allegations from trailing candidates such as Rafael López Aliaga. The June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez proceeded under established procedures, with ongoing reviews of contested ballots and nullity requests handled through standard channels rather than wholesale invalidation. Peruvian law imposes strict thresholds for annulling an entire election, including supermajority requirements on null or blank votes and documented systemic violations, which current evidence has not met. Traders assign 95.5% probability to “No” because institutional precedents favor completing the tally and certification over restarting the process. Late-stage constitutional court rulings or unprecedented irregularities uncovered in the remaining contested stations could still shift outcomes before final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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