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Politics·Primaries

MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Sean McCann

$1,767 Vol.

96%

Diop Harris

$1,007 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Sean McCann holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary for Michigan’s 4th Congressional District due to substantial fundraising dominance, with over $1.5 million raised compared to roughly $95,000 for Diop Harris, alongside endorsements from Governor Gretchen Whitmer and early DCCC Red to Blue program inclusion. These factors have reinforced trader consensus around McCann’s viability against incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga in the general election. Harris, a former congressional staffer and more progressive candidate, has drawn limited support while criticizing national party intervention and emphasizing grassroots efforts, though no major polling or late developments have narrowed the gap. The primary’s proximity and McCann’s institutional advantages continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,774
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Sean McCann holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary for Michigan’s 4th Congressional District due to substantial fundraising dominance, with over $1.5 million raised compared to roughly $95,000 for Diop Harris, alongside endorsements from Governor Gretchen Whitmer and early DCCC Red to Blue program inclusion. These factors have reinforced trader consensus around McCann’s viability against incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga in the general election. Harris, a former congressional staffer and more progressive candidate, has drawn limited support while criticizing national party intervention and emphasizing grassroots efforts, though no major polling or late developments have narrowed the gap. The primary’s proximity and McCann’s institutional advantages continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,774
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sean McCann" at 96%, followed by "Diop Harris" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Sean McCann" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Diop Harris" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.