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Legal predictions & odds

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Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

2%

$45.8K Vol.

$40.4K Liq.

23

Ends in 8 months

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

30%

May 31

$30.3K Vol.

$414 Liq.

4

Ends in 17 days

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

14%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

87%

June 30

$28.7K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

8%

$28.9K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

9%

$37.1K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

81%

50

$18.1K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

3%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

1,033

Ends in about 2 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

24%

Frontier Airlines

$87.7K Vol.

$170K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

10

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

18%

$129K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

30

Ends in 8 months

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

74%

$39.3K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

90%

$21.4K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

49%

$183K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

74

Ends in 8 months

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

5%

June 30

$4.9K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$477K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

33

Chirayu Rana sued?

Chirayu Rana sued?

70%

$169K Vol.

$35.6K Liq.

51

Ends in 8 months

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

9%

$79.3K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?

Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?

4%

$14.4K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Legal.

Polymarket currently hosts 181 active markets for Legal that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Iran legalize gay marriage?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Chirayu Rana sued?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Epstein client list released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Epstein client list released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 3% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Legal predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.