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Ukraine Peace Deal predictions & odds

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

44%

December 31

$235K Vol.

$235K today

$575K Liq.

23

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

8%

$384K Vol.

$52.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

33%

$548K Vol.

$70.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

3%

$219K Vol.

$35.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

20%

$458K Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

17%

$571K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

18%

$12.9K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

5%

$123K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

12

Ends in about 2 months

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

22%

December 31

$432K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

19%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

88

Ends in about 2 months

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

14%

$72.2K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

6%

$38.2K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

6%

$147K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

19%

$98.8K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

20%

$93.5K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

2%

June 30

$399K Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Ukraine Peace Deal.

Polymarket currently hosts 16 active markets for Ukraine Peace Deal that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ukraine Peace Deal predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.