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Peace predictions & odds

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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

63%

December 31

$112M Vol.

$2M today

$4M Liq.

2,248

Ends in 8 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

8%

Yulia Navalnaya

$16M Vol.

$88.2K today

$1M Liq.

169

Ends in 5 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

8%

$383K Vol.

$50.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

34%

$548K Vol.

$70.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

17%

June 30

$832K Vol.

$97.9K Liq.

14

Ends in 17 days

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

20%

$458K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

18%

$12.9K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

22%

December 31

$432K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

3%

May 31

$162K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

23

Ends in 17 days

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

30%

$14.0K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

57%

No election before 2027

$18.2K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

7

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

45%

Trump Tax

$3.6K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

2%

June 30

$399K Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

13%

June 30

$149K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

30

Ends in about 2 months

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

83%

Nothing

$83.2K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

100%

magic

$964K Vol.

$897K today

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

HOTU

$9.4K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

67%

$557K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

64%

May 17

$54.8K Vol.

$54.8K today

$110K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Peace.

Polymarket currently hosts 125 active markets for Peace that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $135.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 63% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Peace predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.