The Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) secured the largest share of seats in the September 14, 2026, parliamentary election, topping party-list voting with 35.54% and adding strong district results across multiple provinces to reach roughly 31 total seats. This outcome stems from its rapid organization under interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua, broad local executive support, and effective mobilization in key areas like Maguindanao del Norte and Cotabato City. Rival United Bangsamoro Justice Party trailed closely at around 30 seats, producing a hung parliament where 41 votes are required for a majority. Traders assign BFP overwhelming odds because official proclamations confirm its lead in both proportional and district contests, though coalition negotiations with smaller parties such as the BARMM Grand Coalition remain necessary to elect the next chief minister by the October 30 transition deadline. Late shifts in alliances or unresolved disputes could still alter the final government formation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBFP 100.0%
BGC <1%
ABOT <1%
BAPA <1%
$94,226 Vol.
$94,226 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
ABOT
No
BAPA
No
BEST PARTY
No
BFP
Yes
BGC
No
ISAMA
No
MAHARDIKA
No
MORO AKO
No
MUSHAWARA
No
PBB
No
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
No
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
No
UBJP
No
C4P
No
TPWC
No
LBIAA
No
RSEU
No
THE ROYALS
No
ROHOSUMA
No
ROHOSUPA
No
RSL
No
ISLPI
No
DTLO
No
Election Postponed/Canceled
No
BFP 100.0%
BGC <1%
ABOT <1%
BAPA <1%
$94,226 Vol.
$94,226 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
ABOT
$671 Vol.
No
BAPA
$796 Vol.
No
BEST PARTY
$804 Vol.
No
BFP
$16,055 Vol.
Yes
BGC
$3,053 Vol.
No
ISAMA
$662 Vol.
No
MAHARDIKA
$707 Vol.
No
MORO AKO
$662 Vol.
No
MUSHAWARA
$701 Vol.
No
PBB
$596 Vol.
No
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
$1,006 Vol.
No
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
$637 Vol.
No
UBJP
$57,994 Vol.
No
C4P
$800 Vol.
No
TPWC
$621 Vol.
No
LBIAA
$1,208 Vol.
No
RSEU
$808 Vol.
No
THE ROYALS
$627 Vol.
No
ROHOSUMA
$1,184 Vol.
No
ROHOSUPA
$662 Vol.
No
RSL
$632 Vol.
No
ISLPI
$708 Vol.
No
DTLO
$1,038 Vol.
No
Election Postponed/Canceled
$1,591 Vol.
No
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) secured the largest share of seats in the September 14, 2026, parliamentary election, topping party-list voting with 35.54% and adding strong district results across multiple provinces to reach roughly 31 total seats. This outcome stems from its rapid organization under interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua, broad local executive support, and effective mobilization in key areas like Maguindanao del Norte and Cotabato City. Rival United Bangsamoro Justice Party trailed closely at around 30 seats, producing a hung parliament where 41 votes are required for a majority. Traders assign BFP overwhelming odds because official proclamations confirm its lead in both proportional and district contests, though coalition negotiations with smaller parties such as the BARMM Grand Coalition remain necessary to elect the next chief minister by the October 30 transition deadline. Late shifts in alliances or unresolved disputes could still alter the final government formation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Volume
$94,226End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) secured the largest share of seats in the September 14, 2026, parliamentary election, topping party-list voting with 35.54% and adding strong district results across multiple provinces to reach roughly 31 total seats. This outcome stems from its rapid organization under interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua, broad local executive support, and effective mobilization in key areas like Maguindanao del Norte and Cotabato City. Rival United Bangsamoro Justice Party trailed closely at around 30 seats, producing a hung parliament where 41 votes are required for a majority. Traders assign BFP overwhelming odds because official proclamations confirm its lead in both proportional and district contests, though coalition negotiations with smaller parties such as the BARMM Grand Coalition remain necessary to elect the next chief minister by the October 30 transition deadline. Late shifts in alliances or unresolved disputes could still alter the final government formation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volume
$94,226End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) secured the largest share of seats in the September 14, 2026, parliamentary election, topping party-list voting with 35.54% and adding strong district results across multiple provinces to reach roughly 31 total seats. This outcome stems from its rapid organization under interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua, broad local executive support, and effective mobilization in key areas like Maguindanao del Norte and Cotabato City. Rival United Bangsamoro Justice Party trailed closely at around 30 seats, producing a hung parliament where 41 votes are required for a majority. Traders assign BFP overwhelming odds because official proclamations confirm its lead in both proportional and district contests, though coalition negotiations with smaller parties such as the BARMM Grand Coalition remain necessary to elect the next chief minister by the October 30 transition deadline. Late shifts in alliances or unresolved disputes could still alter the final government formation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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