Ciro Gomes holds the leading position in the Ceará governor race due to his established regional profile as a former state governor and multiple-time presidential candidate, combined with polling momentum in several surveys showing him competitive or ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas. Recent August 2026 polls reflect volatility, including a Datafolha result with Ciro ahead by 19 points, an AtlasIntel survey giving him a narrow 49.3% to 44.6% edge, and a Real Time Big Data poll tying the pair at 44% each ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support. Trader pricing at 64.5% for Ciro versus 36.5% for Elmano appears driven by name recognition and historical voting patterns in the state, even as runoff simulations remain close and the race could shift with turnout or late developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 65%
Elmano de Freitas 37%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$180,985 Vol.
$180,985 Vol.
4 out 2026
Ciro Gomes
65%
Elmano de Freitas
37%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 65%
Elmano de Freitas 37%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$180,985 Vol.
$180,985 Vol.
4 out 2026
Ciro Gomes
$90,883 Vol.
65%
Elmano de Freitas
$36,193 Vol.
37%
Eduardo Girão
$14,016 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$13,511 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$12,450 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$13,931 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds the leading position in the Ceará governor race due to his established regional profile as a former state governor and multiple-time presidential candidate, combined with polling momentum in several surveys showing him competitive or ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas. Recent August 2026 polls reflect volatility, including a Datafolha result with Ciro ahead by 19 points, an AtlasIntel survey giving him a narrow 49.3% to 44.6% edge, and a Real Time Big Data poll tying the pair at 44% each ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support. Trader pricing at 64.5% for Ciro versus 36.5% for Elmano appears driven by name recognition and historical voting patterns in the state, even as runoff simulations remain close and the race could shift with turnout or late developments.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$180,985Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds the leading position in the Ceará governor race due to his established regional profile as a former state governor and multiple-time presidential candidate, combined with polling momentum in several surveys showing him competitive or ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas. Recent August 2026 polls reflect volatility, including a Datafolha result with Ciro ahead by 19 points, an AtlasIntel survey giving him a narrow 49.3% to 44.6% edge, and a Real Time Big Data poll tying the pair at 44% each ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support. Trader pricing at 64.5% for Ciro versus 36.5% for Elmano appears driven by name recognition and historical voting patterns in the state, even as runoff simulations remain close and the race could shift with turnout or late developments.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$180,985Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes holds the leading position in the Ceará governor race due to his established regional profile as a former state governor and multiple-time presidential candidate, combined with polling momentum in several surveys showing him competitive or ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas. Recent August 2026 polls reflect volatility, including a Datafolha result with Ciro ahead by 19 points, an AtlasIntel survey giving him a narrow 49.3% to 44.6% edge, and a Real Time Big Data poll tying the pair at 44% each ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support. Trader pricing at 64.5% for Ciro versus 36.5% for Elmano appears driven by name recognition and historical voting patterns in the state, even as runoff simulations remain close and the race could shift with turnout or late developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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