Ciro Gomes leads trader expectations in the Ceará gubernatorial race, holding a clear edge in recent first-round polling averages that place him well ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas. Recent surveys from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest show Gomes drawing 41-47% support against Freitas at around 32%, reflecting the former governor’s strong name recognition and prior state executive experience. Gomes’s decision to forgo a presidential bid and focus on the October 4 contest has consolidated backing from PSDB allies and center-leaning groups. Freitas maintains a solid PT base but shows limited growth in head-to-head scenarios, while other declared candidates such as Camilo Santana, Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register only single-digit or lower figures and narrower coalitions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 27%
Camilo Santana 4.8%
Capitão Wagner 4.1%
$55,475 Vol.
$55,475 Vol.
4 out 2026
Ciro Gomes
68%
Elmano de Freitas
27%
Camilo Santana
5%
Capitão Wagner
4%
Eduardo Girão
4%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 27%
Camilo Santana 4.8%
Capitão Wagner 4.1%
$55,475 Vol.
$55,475 Vol.
4 out 2026
Ciro Gomes
$36,370 Vol.
68%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,344 Vol.
27%
Camilo Santana
$3,305 Vol.
5%
Capitão Wagner
$4,304 Vol.
4%
Eduardo Girão
$3,172 Vol.
4%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,980 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads trader expectations in the Ceará gubernatorial race, holding a clear edge in recent first-round polling averages that place him well ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas. Recent surveys from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest show Gomes drawing 41-47% support against Freitas at around 32%, reflecting the former governor’s strong name recognition and prior state executive experience. Gomes’s decision to forgo a presidential bid and focus on the October 4 contest has consolidated backing from PSDB allies and center-leaning groups. Freitas maintains a solid PT base but shows limited growth in head-to-head scenarios, while other declared candidates such as Camilo Santana, Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register only single-digit or lower figures and narrower coalitions.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$55,475Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads trader expectations in the Ceará gubernatorial race, holding a clear edge in recent first-round polling averages that place him well ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas. Recent surveys from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest show Gomes drawing 41-47% support against Freitas at around 32%, reflecting the former governor’s strong name recognition and prior state executive experience. Gomes’s decision to forgo a presidential bid and focus on the October 4 contest has consolidated backing from PSDB allies and center-leaning groups. Freitas maintains a solid PT base but shows limited growth in head-to-head scenarios, while other declared candidates such as Camilo Santana, Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register only single-digit or lower figures and narrower coalitions.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$55,475Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads trader expectations in the Ceará gubernatorial race, holding a clear edge in recent first-round polling averages that place him well ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas. Recent surveys from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest show Gomes drawing 41-47% support against Freitas at around 32%, reflecting the former governor’s strong name recognition and prior state executive experience. Gomes’s decision to forgo a presidential bid and focus on the October 4 contest has consolidated backing from PSDB allies and center-leaning groups. Freitas maintains a solid PT base but shows limited growth in head-to-head scenarios, while other declared candidates such as Camilo Santana, Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register only single-digit or lower figures and narrower coalitions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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