Recent monthly CPI readings, including a July 2026 print of 0.5% year-over-year driven by declining food prices and softer non-food components, have reinforced trader positioning toward the 0.6–1.0% range for full-year average inflation. Persistent weak domestic demand, ample pork supply, and easing global energy costs have kept core inflation near 0.9%, while institutional outlooks from the ADB and OECD cluster around 1.0–1.2%. Limited fiscal stimulus and stable policy settings reduce the likelihood of a sharp rebound, anchoring the implied probability at 58% for that interval amid ongoing consumption softness.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoInflação Anual da China 2026
Inflação Anual da China 2026
0,6 – 1,0% 63%
0,1 – 0,5% 19.5%
1,1 – 1,5% 10%
2,0-2,4% 5.3%
$73,024 Vol.
$73,024 Vol.
10 jan 2027
<-1,0%
3%
-0,9 – -0,5%
2%
-0,4 – 0,0%
2%
0,1 – 0,5%
20%
0,6 – 1,0%
63%
1,1 – 1,5%
10%
1,6 – 2,0%
4%
2,0-2,4%
5%
2,5%+
<1%
0,6 – 1,0% 63%
0,1 – 0,5% 19.5%
1,1 – 1,5% 10%
2,0-2,4% 5.3%
$73,024 Vol.
$73,024 Vol.
10 jan 2027
<-1,0%
$19,736 Vol.
3%
-0,9 – -0,5%
$3,327 Vol.
2%
-0,4 – 0,0%
$4,597 Vol.
2%
0,1 – 0,5%
$4,871 Vol.
20%
0,6 – 1,0%
$9,037 Vol.
63%
1,1 – 1,5%
$13,777 Vol.
10%
1,6 – 2,0%
$6,462 Vol.
4%
2,0-2,4%
$7,874 Vol.
5%
2,5%+
$3,344 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent monthly CPI readings, including a July 2026 print of 0.5% year-over-year driven by declining food prices and softer non-food components, have reinforced trader positioning toward the 0.6–1.0% range for full-year average inflation. Persistent weak domestic demand, ample pork supply, and easing global energy costs have kept core inflation near 0.9%, while institutional outlooks from the ADB and OECD cluster around 1.0–1.2%. Limited fiscal stimulus and stable policy settings reduce the likelihood of a sharp rebound, anchoring the implied probability at 58% for that interval amid ongoing consumption softness.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Mercado Aberto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$73,024Data de Término
10 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent monthly CPI readings, including a July 2026 print of 0.5% year-over-year driven by declining food prices and softer non-food components, have reinforced trader positioning toward the 0.6–1.0% range for full-year average inflation. Persistent weak domestic demand, ample pork supply, and easing global energy costs have kept core inflation near 0.9%, while institutional outlooks from the ADB and OECD cluster around 1.0–1.2%. Limited fiscal stimulus and stable policy settings reduce the likelihood of a sharp rebound, anchoring the implied probability at 58% for that interval amid ongoing consumption softness.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$73,024Data de Término
10 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI readings, including a July 2026 print of 0.5% year-over-year driven by declining food prices and softer non-food components, have reinforced trader positioning toward the 0.6–1.0% range for full-year average inflation. Persistent weak domestic demand, ample pork supply, and easing global energy costs have kept core inflation near 0.9%, while institutional outlooks from the ADB and OECD cluster around 1.0–1.2%. Limited fiscal stimulus and stable policy settings reduce the likelihood of a sharp rebound, anchoring the implied probability at 58% for that interval amid ongoing consumption softness.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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