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icon for FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

icon for FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

abr 30

abr 30

98% chance
Polymarket

$40,911 Vol.

98% chance
Polymarket

$40,911 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress has repeatedly passed short-term extensions of FISA Section 702 in late April 2026, including a 45-day measure averting its April 19 sunset and buying time for long-term reauthorization, driving trader consensus to 97.7% for renewal before the next deadline around mid-June. Bipartisan leadership in the House and Senate, backed by the intelligence community and Trump administration, supports continuation of this key foreign intelligence surveillance authority amid national security priorities, following historical patterns of renewal despite privacy concerns. The House approved a three-year extension on April 29, but Senate hurdles persist from privacy hawks like Sens. Mike Lee and Ron Wyden demanding warrant requirements. Late scandals revealing abuses or filibuster holds could still derail passage, though such disruptions remain unlikely given procedural momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,911
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress has repeatedly passed short-term extensions of FISA Section 702 in late April 2026, including a 45-day measure averting its April 19 sunset and buying time for long-term reauthorization, driving trader consensus to 97.7% for renewal before the next deadline around mid-June. Bipartisan leadership in the House and Senate, backed by the intelligence community and Trump administration, supports continuation of this key foreign intelligence surveillance authority amid national security priorities, following historical patterns of renewal despite privacy concerns. The House approved a three-year extension on April 29, but Senate hurdles persist from privacy hawks like Sens. Mike Lee and Ron Wyden demanding warrant requirements. Late scandals revealing abuses or filibuster holds could still derail passage, though such disruptions remain unlikely given procedural momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,911
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 98% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 98¢, the market collectively assigns a 98% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?" has generated $40.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?" is 98% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 98% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.