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icon for Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional Popular da Guiné-Bissau

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional Popular da Guiné-Bissau

icon for Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional Popular da Guiné-Bissau

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional Popular da Guiné-Bissau

Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 14.4%

PT 6.6%

FLING 4.3%

PS 3.1%

Polymarket

$159,337 Vol.

Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 14.4%

PT 6.6%

FLING 4.3%

PS 3.1%

Polymarket

$159,337 Vol.

Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”

$48,626 Vol.

14%

PT

$21,911 Vol.

7%

FLING

$12,987 Vol.

4%

PS

$26,160 Vol.

3%

MUNDO-GB

$22,884 Vol.

3%

FREPASNA

$26,769 Vol.

16%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The tight contest for Guinea-Bissau’s 6 December 2026 National People’s Assembly election reflects a fragmented field under proportional representation, with no dominant party emerging after the 2025 coup annulled prior results and installed a military-led transition. Recent approval of a new constitution that shrinks parliament from 102 to 65 seats and redraws constituencies has introduced fresh uncertainty over seat allocation, while the main opposition PAIGC boycott of the August referendum and ongoing restrictions on party offices have limited organized challenges. FREPASNA and the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” lead on trader pricing because of their visibility in the transitional process and prior coalitions, yet low individual shares for PT, FLING, PS and MUNDO-GB underscore the absence of clear frontrunners. Further separation could arise from final candidate lists, new alliances, turnout patterns in the reduced constituencies, or any shifts in military or international mediation before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$159,337
Data de Término
23 nov 2025
Mercado Aberto
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The tight contest for Guinea-Bissau’s 6 December 2026 National People’s Assembly election reflects a fragmented field under proportional representation, with no dominant party emerging after the 2025 coup annulled prior results and installed a military-led transition. Recent approval of a new constitution that shrinks parliament from 102 to 65 seats and redraws constituencies has introduced fresh uncertainty over seat allocation, while the main opposition PAIGC boycott of the August referendum and ongoing restrictions on party offices have limited organized challenges. FREPASNA and the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” lead on trader pricing because of their visibility in the transitional process and prior coalitions, yet low individual shares for PT, FLING, PS and MUNDO-GB underscore the absence of clear frontrunners. Further separation could arise from final candidate lists, new alliances, turnout patterns in the reduced constituencies, or any shifts in military or international mediation before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$159,337
Data de Término
23 nov 2025
Mercado Aberto
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional Popular da Guiné-Bissau" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "FREPASNA" at 16%, followed by "Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional Popular da Guiné-Bissau" has generated $159.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional Popular da Guiné-Bissau," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional Popular da Guiné-Bissau" is "FREPASNA" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional Popular da Guiné-Bissau" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.