National Weather Service forecasts point to a high of 86°F in Austin today under sunny skies and southerly flow, placing the 86-87°F outcome at 51% market-implied odds versus 45% for 88°F or higher. Afternoon surface heating and minimal cloud cover support this range, though localized convection or slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing could push readings one or two degrees higher before the daily maximum is recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. May climatology shows average highs near 85°F, so current conditions align with seasonal norms while the tight probability split reflects uncertainty in exact peak temperature rather than broader pattern shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 17 de maio?
86-87°F 70%
88°F or higher 28%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
$33,465 Vol.
$33,465 Vol.
17 mai 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
70%
88°F or higher
28%
86-87°F 70%
88°F or higher 28%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
$33,465 Vol.
$33,465 Vol.
17 mai 2026
69°F or below
$1,348 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$4,010 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$5,814 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$673 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,572 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$532 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,725 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,964 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$4,525 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$4,384 Vol.
70%
88°F or higher
$6,123 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high of 86°F in Austin today under sunny skies and southerly flow, placing the 86-87°F outcome at 51% market-implied odds versus 45% for 88°F or higher. Afternoon surface heating and minimal cloud cover support this range, though localized convection or slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing could push readings one or two degrees higher before the daily maximum is recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. May climatology shows average highs near 85°F, so current conditions align with seasonal norms while the tight probability split reflects uncertainty in exact peak temperature rather than broader pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$33,465Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high of 86°F in Austin today under sunny skies and southerly flow, placing the 86-87°F outcome at 51% market-implied odds versus 45% for 88°F or higher. Afternoon surface heating and minimal cloud cover support this range, though localized convection or slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing could push readings one or two degrees higher before the daily maximum is recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. May climatology shows average highs near 85°F, so current conditions align with seasonal norms while the tight probability split reflects uncertainty in exact peak temperature rather than broader pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$33,465Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSNational Weather Service forecasts point to a high of 86°F in Austin today under sunny skies and southerly flow, placing the 86-87°F outcome at 51% market-implied odds versus 45% for 88°F or higher. Afternoon surface heating and minimal cloud cover support this range, though localized convection or slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing could push readings one or two degrees higher before the daily maximum is recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. May climatology shows average highs near 85°F, so current conditions align with seasonal norms while the tight probability split reflects uncertainty in exact peak temperature rather than broader pattern shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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