Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 19°C in Beijing on May 17, driven by stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. This alignment of observational data and model consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for the 19°C outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of tightly constrained temperature ranges. Minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or a slightly stronger onshore breeze could still nudge the peak to 20°C, while any unexpected increase in afternoon convection remains the primary variable that might alter final readings before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 17 de maio?
19°C 98.2%
20°C 1.5%
21°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$68,501 Vol.
$68,501 Vol.
17 mai 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
98%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 98.2%
20°C 1.5%
21°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$68,501 Vol.
$68,501 Vol.
17 mai 2026
13°C or below
$517 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$640 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,765 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,574 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$8,776 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$14,290 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$8,405 Vol.
98%
20°C
$8,068 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5,432 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$7,360 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$6,673 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 19°C in Beijing on May 17, driven by stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. This alignment of observational data and model consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for the 19°C outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of tightly constrained temperature ranges. Minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or a slightly stronger onshore breeze could still nudge the peak to 20°C, while any unexpected increase in afternoon convection remains the primary variable that might alter final readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$68,501Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 19°C in Beijing on May 17, driven by stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. This alignment of observational data and model consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for the 19°C outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of tightly constrained temperature ranges. Minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or a slightly stronger onshore breeze could still nudge the peak to 20°C, while any unexpected increase in afternoon convection remains the primary variable that might alter final readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$68,501Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 19°C in Beijing on May 17, driven by stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. This alignment of observational data and model consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for the 19°C outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of tightly constrained temperature ranges. Minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or a slightly stronger onshore breeze could still nudge the peak to 20°C, while any unexpected increase in afternoon convection remains the primary variable that might alter final readings before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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