Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C on May 15, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers tied to a low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. This verified station reading, consistent with mid-May subtropical climatology where daytime highs typically range 26–29°C, anchors the market’s near-certain 27°C outcome as traders incorporate the precise resolution data rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this result would require abrupt sky clearance, sharply reduced humidity, and stronger solar insolation allowing prolonged radiative warming, though such conditions were absent amid the active trough and elevated moisture.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 15 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 15 de maio?
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
$291,880 Vol.
$291,880 Vol.
15 mai 2026
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
$291,880 Vol.
$291,880 Vol.
15 mai 2026
19°C ou menos
$3,583 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$88,914 Vol.
100%
28°C
$45,395 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou mais
$35,841 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C on May 15, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers tied to a low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. This verified station reading, consistent with mid-May subtropical climatology where daytime highs typically range 26–29°C, anchors the market’s near-certain 27°C outcome as traders incorporate the precise resolution data rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this result would require abrupt sky clearance, sharply reduced humidity, and stronger solar insolation allowing prolonged radiative warming, though such conditions were absent amid the active trough and elevated moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$291,880Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C on May 15, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers tied to a low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. This verified station reading, consistent with mid-May subtropical climatology where daytime highs typically range 26–29°C, anchors the market’s near-certain 27°C outcome as traders incorporate the precise resolution data rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this result would require abrupt sky clearance, sharply reduced humidity, and stronger solar insolation allowing prolonged radiative warming, though such conditions were absent amid the active trough and elevated moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$291,880Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C on May 15, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers tied to a low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. This verified station reading, consistent with mid-May subtropical climatology where daytime highs typically range 26–29°C, anchors the market’s near-certain 27°C outcome as traders incorporate the precise resolution data rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this result would require abrupt sky clearance, sharply reduced humidity, and stronger solar insolation allowing prolonged radiative warming, though such conditions were absent amid the active trough and elevated moisture.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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