Official records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum temperature of exactly 25°C on May 16, establishing the scientific basis for the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This value aligns with mid-May climatology in the subtropical region, where average highs typically range from 24–28°C amid transitional monsoon influences and moderate humidity. Standard monitoring protocols at the agency's primary stations, using calibrated thermometers and consistent siting, captured stable atmospheric conditions without notable urban heat amplification or frontal passages that could have driven deviations. Forecast models had converged on this narrow band days earlier, and the final observation leaves negligible scope for revision, as historical data revisions at this precision level occur infrequently.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,807 Vol.
$302,807 Vol.
16 mai 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,807 Vol.
$302,807 Vol.
16 mai 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$77,368 Vol.
100%
26°C
$43,033 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$39,653 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25,261 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$24,002 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum temperature of exactly 25°C on May 16, establishing the scientific basis for the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This value aligns with mid-May climatology in the subtropical region, where average highs typically range from 24–28°C amid transitional monsoon influences and moderate humidity. Standard monitoring protocols at the agency's primary stations, using calibrated thermometers and consistent siting, captured stable atmospheric conditions without notable urban heat amplification or frontal passages that could have driven deviations. Forecast models had converged on this narrow band days earlier, and the final observation leaves negligible scope for revision, as historical data revisions at this precision level occur infrequently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$302,807Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum temperature of exactly 25°C on May 16, establishing the scientific basis for the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This value aligns with mid-May climatology in the subtropical region, where average highs typically range from 24–28°C amid transitional monsoon influences and moderate humidity. Standard monitoring protocols at the agency's primary stations, using calibrated thermometers and consistent siting, captured stable atmospheric conditions without notable urban heat amplification or frontal passages that could have driven deviations. Forecast models had converged on this narrow band days earlier, and the final observation leaves negligible scope for revision, as historical data revisions at this precision level occur infrequently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$302,807Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum temperature of exactly 25°C on May 16, establishing the scientific basis for the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This value aligns with mid-May climatology in the subtropical region, where average highs typically range from 24–28°C amid transitional monsoon influences and moderate humidity. Standard monitoring protocols at the agency's primary stations, using calibrated thermometers and consistent siting, captured stable atmospheric conditions without notable urban heat amplification or frontal passages that could have driven deviations. Forecast models had converged on this narrow band days earlier, and the final observation leaves negligible scope for revision, as historical data revisions at this precision level occur infrequently.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions