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icon for Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 17 de maio?

Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 17 de maio?

icon for Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 17 de maio?

Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 17 de maio?

mai 17

mai 18

mai 19

mai 17

mai 18

mai 19

86°F or higher 86.3%

84-85°F 13%

82-83°F <1%

67°F or below <1%

Polymarket

$16,393 Vol.

86°F or higher 86.3%

84-85°F 13%

82-83°F <1%

67°F or below <1%

Polymarket

$16,393 Vol.

67°F or below

$1,361 Vol.

<1%

68-69°F

$2,053 Vol.

<1%

70-71°F

$3,678 Vol.

<1%

72-73°F

$366 Vol.

<1%

74-75°F

$476 Vol.

<1%

76-77°F

$250 Vol.

<1%

78-79°F

$795 Vol.

<1%

80-81°F

$1,605 Vol.

<1%

82-83°F

$3,058 Vol.

<1%

84-85°F

$1,870 Vol.

13%

86°F or higher

$1,437 Vol.

86%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate Houston will reach a daily high in the mid to upper 80s on May 17, aligning with the market’s strong 80.1% implied probability for 86°F or higher. This positioning reflects typical May climatology, where the 1991–2020 normal high at Houston Intercontinental Airport stands at 87°F, combined with an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and limited cloud cover that favors daytime warming. Recent observational trends show light winds and moderate humidity levels that have not suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, while ensemble guidance shows low spread around peak values near 87–89°F. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus ahead of final hourly observations used for official resolution, with minimal volume on lower brackets underscoring limited downside risk from unexpected cooling.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,393
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate Houston will reach a daily high in the mid to upper 80s on May 17, aligning with the market’s strong 80.1% implied probability for 86°F or higher. This positioning reflects typical May climatology, where the 1991–2020 normal high at Houston Intercontinental Airport stands at 87°F, combined with an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and limited cloud cover that favors daytime warming. Recent observational trends show light winds and moderate humidity levels that have not suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, while ensemble guidance shows low spread around peak values near 87–89°F. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus ahead of final hourly observations used for official resolution, with minimal volume on lower brackets underscoring limited downside risk from unexpected cooling.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,393
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 17 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "86°F or higher" at 86%, followed by "84-85°F" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 17 de maio?" has generated $16.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 17 de maio?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 17 de maio?" is "86°F or higher" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "84-85°F" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 17 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.