Recent meteorological model consensus, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System, points to a daytime maximum of 26°C in Moscow under overcast skies with light rain and southerly flow advecting milder air. This alignment with observed surface temperatures and boundary-layer stability has produced the overwhelming market-implied probability near 100 percent for that exact threshold. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 18–20°C, so the current anomaly reflects a transient warm episode rather than a long-term shift. A faster-moving cold front or heavier precipitation bands could still trim the peak by 1–2°C before evening observations close, though guidance indicates low likelihood of such a revision before the daily maximum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 17 de maio?
26°C 99.8%
28°C or higher <1%
27°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,144 Vol.
$44,144 Vol.
17 mai 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
28°C or higher <1%
27°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,144 Vol.
$44,144 Vol.
17 mai 2026
18°C or below
$1,628 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,641 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,344 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,934 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,251 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,334 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,517 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,183 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,841 Vol.
100%
27°C
$5,397 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,112 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System, points to a daytime maximum of 26°C in Moscow under overcast skies with light rain and southerly flow advecting milder air. This alignment with observed surface temperatures and boundary-layer stability has produced the overwhelming market-implied probability near 100 percent for that exact threshold. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 18–20°C, so the current anomaly reflects a transient warm episode rather than a long-term shift. A faster-moving cold front or heavier precipitation bands could still trim the peak by 1–2°C before evening observations close, though guidance indicates low likelihood of such a revision before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$44,144Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System, points to a daytime maximum of 26°C in Moscow under overcast skies with light rain and southerly flow advecting milder air. This alignment with observed surface temperatures and boundary-layer stability has produced the overwhelming market-implied probability near 100 percent for that exact threshold. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 18–20°C, so the current anomaly reflects a transient warm episode rather than a long-term shift. A faster-moving cold front or heavier precipitation bands could still trim the peak by 1–2°C before evening observations close, though guidance indicates low likelihood of such a revision before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,144Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent meteorological model consensus, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System, points to a daytime maximum of 26°C in Moscow under overcast skies with light rain and southerly flow advecting milder air. This alignment with observed surface temperatures and boundary-layer stability has produced the overwhelming market-implied probability near 100 percent for that exact threshold. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 18–20°C, so the current anomaly reflects a transient warm episode rather than a long-term shift. A faster-moving cold front or heavier precipitation bands could still trim the peak by 1–2°C before evening observations close, though guidance indicates low likelihood of such a revision before the daily maximum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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