Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Moscow will likely see a peak temperature near 28–29°C on May 18, driven by warm southerly airflow and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime cooling. Ensemble model runs show minor variations in cloud cover and wind patterns that keep the 28°C and 29°C outcomes nearly even in trader positioning, with 30°C or higher remaining possible only if subsidence strengthens further. Historical May climatology places typical highs around 18–20°C, so this anomalous warmth aligns with the ongoing spring heat trend observed in recent weeks. Updated model guidance and official observations from the Russian Hydrometeorological Service tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 18 de maio?
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 16%
NOVO
$10,326 Vol.
NOVO
$10,326 Vol.
18 mai 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
30%
29°C
31%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
3%
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 16%
NOVO
$10,326 Vol.
NOVO
$10,326 Vol.
18 mai 2026
21°C or below
$870 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$533 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,494 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,590 Vol.
1%
26°C
$598 Vol.
5%
27°C
$476 Vol.
16%
28°C
$671 Vol.
30%
29°C
$450 Vol.
31%
30°C
$405 Vol.
19%
31°C or higher
$1,174 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Moscow will likely see a peak temperature near 28–29°C on May 18, driven by warm southerly airflow and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime cooling. Ensemble model runs show minor variations in cloud cover and wind patterns that keep the 28°C and 29°C outcomes nearly even in trader positioning, with 30°C or higher remaining possible only if subsidence strengthens further. Historical May climatology places typical highs around 18–20°C, so this anomalous warmth aligns with the ongoing spring heat trend observed in recent weeks. Updated model guidance and official observations from the Russian Hydrometeorological Service tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,326Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Moscow will likely see a peak temperature near 28–29°C on May 18, driven by warm southerly airflow and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime cooling. Ensemble model runs show minor variations in cloud cover and wind patterns that keep the 28°C and 29°C outcomes nearly even in trader positioning, with 30°C or higher remaining possible only if subsidence strengthens further. Historical May climatology places typical highs around 18–20°C, so this anomalous warmth aligns with the ongoing spring heat trend observed in recent weeks. Updated model guidance and official observations from the Russian Hydrometeorological Service tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,326Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts indicate Moscow will likely see a peak temperature near 28–29°C on May 18, driven by warm southerly airflow and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime cooling. Ensemble model runs show minor variations in cloud cover and wind patterns that keep the 28°C and 29°C outcomes nearly even in trader positioning, with 30°C or higher remaining possible only if subsidence strengthens further. Historical May climatology places typical highs around 18–20°C, so this anomalous warmth aligns with the ongoing spring heat trend observed in recent weeks. Updated model guidance and official observations from the Russian Hydrometeorological Service tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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