Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, the official resolution station, under moderate high pressure and light northerly flow. Partial cloud cover is limiting daytime heating while boundary-layer mixing keeps afternoon peaks within the 15–17°C range, which explains why the 16°C outcome holds a narrow lead at 43% implied probability followed closely by 15°C at 35.5%. These tightly matched probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in exact cloud timing and mixing depth rather than a firm consensus, with 17°C still carrying 18.5% odds if clearer conditions develop before peak heating.