Recent model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France places the most likely daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 18 in the 15–17 °C range, driving the market’s tight clustering around the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Ensemble forecasts highlight modest daytime heating under variable cloud cover and light winds, with limited solar insolation keeping the peak suppressed relative to the mid-May climatological average near 18 °C. Minor differences in predicted timing of any late-afternoon clearing or weak warm advection explain the spread between adjacent brackets, while historical Météo-France records show mid-May maxima commonly falling between 14 °C and 19 °C. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 18 de maio?
16°C 40%
15°C 34%
17°C 17%
14°C 6%
NOVO
$21,137 Vol.
NOVO
$21,137 Vol.
18 mai 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
34%
16°C
40%
17°C
17%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 40%
15°C 34%
17°C 17%
14°C 6%
NOVO
$21,137 Vol.
NOVO
$21,137 Vol.
18 mai 2026
9°C or below
$1,541 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$3,369 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$991 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,774 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,430 Vol.
1%
14°C
$2,896 Vol.
6%
15°C
$1,381 Vol.
34%
16°C
$2,729 Vol.
40%
17°C
$1,993 Vol.
17%
18°C
$1,402 Vol.
3%
19°C or higher
$1,918 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France places the most likely daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 18 in the 15–17 °C range, driving the market’s tight clustering around the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Ensemble forecasts highlight modest daytime heating under variable cloud cover and light winds, with limited solar insolation keeping the peak suppressed relative to the mid-May climatological average near 18 °C. Minor differences in predicted timing of any late-afternoon clearing or weak warm advection explain the spread between adjacent brackets, while historical Météo-France records show mid-May maxima commonly falling between 14 °C and 19 °C. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$21,137Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France places the most likely daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 18 in the 15–17 °C range, driving the market’s tight clustering around the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Ensemble forecasts highlight modest daytime heating under variable cloud cover and light winds, with limited solar insolation keeping the peak suppressed relative to the mid-May climatological average near 18 °C. Minor differences in predicted timing of any late-afternoon clearing or weak warm advection explain the spread between adjacent brackets, while historical Météo-France records show mid-May maxima commonly falling between 14 °C and 19 °C. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,137Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France places the most likely daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 18 in the 15–17 °C range, driving the market’s tight clustering around the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Ensemble forecasts highlight modest daytime heating under variable cloud cover and light winds, with limited solar insolation keeping the peak suppressed relative to the mid-May climatological average near 18 °C. Minor differences in predicted timing of any late-afternoon clearing or weak warm advection explain the spread between adjacent brackets, while historical Météo-France records show mid-May maxima commonly falling between 14 °C and 19 °C. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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