National Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 17 de maio?
68°F or higher 84%
66-67°F 10%
64-65°F 2.0%
62-63°F <1%
$20,083 Vol.
$20,083 Vol.
17 mai 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
10%
68°F or higher
84%
68°F or higher 84%
66-67°F 10%
64-65°F 2.0%
62-63°F <1%
$20,083 Vol.
$20,083 Vol.
17 mai 2026
49°F or below
$894 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,542 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$555 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$608 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,434 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,032 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,112 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,097 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$3,559 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$2,195 Vol.
10%
68°F or higher
$2,054 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$20,083Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,083Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFONational Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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